Table 2 High-risk molecular and cytogenetic subgroups; balanced translocations into the immunoglobulin heavy-chain locus and copy number abnormalities.
From: High-risk disease in newly diagnosed multiple myeloma: beyond the R-ISS and IMWG definitions
| Â | Prevalence | Pathogenesis | High risk per R-ISS, IMWG, mSMART: | Literature addressing prognosis: | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
t(14;20)a | 1–2% | MAF upregulation including upregulation of cyclin D2, effects on cell interaction and upregulation of apoptosis resistance | mSMART | Inconsistent due to rarity • Ross et al.: median OS 14.4 months [11] • Jurczyszyn et al.b: median PFS 30 months [56] • Shah et al. [57]: HR for OS of 1.90 (P = 0.0089) with only del(17p) showing worse prognosis | No large databases, cohorts of less than 50 patients Frequently found with other high-risk cytogenetic abnormalities: del(17p), t(4;14), t(14;16), del(13q), non-hyperdiploid karyotype |
t(14;16) | 1–2% | MAF upregulation including upregulation of cyclin D2 Effects on cell interaction and upregulation of apoptosis resistance | R-ISS mSMART | Inconsistent due to rarity: • Jurczysyn et al.c: median PFS 31 months; 5-year OS 55% [56] • Mayo Clinic and Medical Research Council group [58] showing poor outcomes • IFM studies showed neutral outcomes [59] | Data from Jurczysyn et al. do not vary significantly from R-ISS stage III outcomes. Of note, the R-ISS did not report specifically on outcomes of t(14;16) patients |
t(4;14) | 15% | MMSET on der(4) MMSET is known to have histone methyltransferase activity and is deregulated early on in the genesis of developing MMd [9] | IMWG R-ISS mSMART | • Chan et al.: PFS of 33.5 months for 75 patients [60] • Mayo group has demonstrated improved median OS ~ 4–5 years [55] • Bolli et al.: On MV analyses, t(4;14) predicted both PFS and OS independently of other CAs [8] | • Compared to standard-risk patients who achieve median OS ~10 years, t(4;14) patients remain bad actors • Some frequently associated chromosomal changes worsen t(4;14) such as +1q, 1p32 and potentially 13q deletions |
t(8;14) and MYC translocations | 1–2% | Upregulation of the oncogene MYCe | none | • Myeloma IX trial: those with a MYC translocation had inferior PFS and OS on MV analyses [61] • CoMMpass study [22]: Only IgL-MYC translocations had worse PFS and OSf | Significant associations between Myc and other abnormalities highlight oncogenic dependencies Myc rearrangements can lead to deregulation of FAM46C which has been associated with hyperdiploid MM [17] |
t(11;14) | 15–20% | Upregulation of CCND1 [62] expressiong Express higher ratios of BCL2 (anti-apoptotic) to MCL1 (proapoptotic) | None | • Traditionally favorable/standard risk • Recent reports show t(11;14) is likely at best standard risk [63] • Connect MM registry data shows neutral risk but possibly increased risk in AA patients [64] • Mutations in CCND1 are key with poor survival amongst mutated v non-mutated t(11;14) patients: median OS 20.2 months vs. NR (P = 0.005) in the Myeloma XI trial [65] | t(11;14) associated with a characteristic lymphoplasmacytic morphology, light chain MM, rarer variants of MM (IgD, IgM, and nonsecretory), and expression of CD20 on the surface of PCs [66] |
t(14;x)h | 15–20% | Unknown | None | • Mao et al. [67]: t(14;x) lead to improved OS on MV analyses (HR = 0.51, 95% CI 0.30–0.85) • Kaufman et al. [68]: t(14;x) median PFS 26.6 and OS 92.8 months, not significantly different from the comparison general cohort | Despite its remarkable prevalence with t(14;unknown) being as common as t(4;14) or t(11;14), its impact on risk and prognosis is not well described albeit it is thought to be neutral |
+1q | Overall: ~33% Gain: ~21.9% Amp: ~6.3% | Amplified CKS1B results in greater degradation of p27, activation of the Cdk/cyclin complex, and cell cycle upregulation by promoting the G1/S transition [13] | None | • Giri et al. [69]: 3578 NDMM patients, any chromosome 1 abnormality inferior OS (median OS 46.6 vs. 70.1 months) • Shah et al. [57]: UK Myeloma XI and IX trials, 1q gain inferior OS (HR 1.67; P = 3.30 × 10–5); amp 1q worse (HR 2.28; P = 2.32 × 10− 6) • MGP: both gain and amp of CKS1B associated with decreased PFS and OS [6] but amp worse • Gain and amp have been shown to impact OS in other cohorts [8, 14, 19, 26, 57] | Cutoff for a positive test remains controversial with the EMN 20% definition frequently employed but higher CCF may impact outcomes. An et al. showed that amongst patients with 1q21 gains a 20% CCF predicted PFS and OS but stratifying by increasing CCF had no impact on outcomes and likely at 20% CCF cutoff remains appropriate [70] |
1p- | ~10% | Deletion of CDKN2C, a tumor suppressor gene, leads to deregulation of the G1/S transition FAM46C promotes MM cell growth-inhibiting apoptosis | None | • Myeloma IX trial: inferior OS for both CDKN2C mutation at 1p32.3 as well as FAM46C at 1p12 [71] • IFM collection: In MV analyses of 1195 patients, 1p22 and 1p32 deletions both showed inferior OS [72] | Amplification of CKS1B is frequently associated with the deletion of the CDKN2C gene at the chromosome 1p32.3 (1p-) locus |
del 13q/-13 | del(13q): ~5% Monsomy 13: 35% | FISH probes to both putative tumor suppressor gene Rb-1 and to D13S319, a gene locus distal to Rb-1, showed inferior OS in NDMM patients. Exact mechanism though is unclear. | None | • Early studies showed inferior OS in NDMM patients but this may be due to co-occurring high-risk CAs [73] • In 1181 NDMM patients, on MV analyses monosomy 13 lead to worse OS with a HR of 1.27 (P = 0.022) while del(13q) with a HR of 0.48 (P = 0.006) [74] | • Deletions and abnormalities involving chromosome 13 were one of the earliest recognized high-risk features in NDMM [75] • Up to 90% of patients with t(4;14) have deletion 13q [76] • CCF has not been clearly defined, at CCF >25% it is likely co-occurring CAs, particularly t(4;14) and del(17p), drive poor clinical outcomes [70] |
del17p | 5–10% | Tumor suppressor gene but the exact mechanism by which del17p promotes aggressive disease biology remains unclear | R-ISS IMWG mSMART | TP53 induces clonal immortalization and survival of tumor cells as well as drug resistance which is thought to drive poor prognosis [77, 78] |