Table 1 Summary of univariate and multivariate Cox models built on the predictive cohort data
Multivariate Cox models | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Variable | Univariate Cox models | Clinical model | Immunohistochemistry models | RNA sequencing models | Combined CD8/PD-L1 models | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
CD8 | Sp142 | CD8A | CD274 | IHC | Bootstrapping | RNA-Seq | Bootstrapping | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Hratio | 95% IC | p | Adjusted p (FDR) | Hratio | 95% IC | p | Hratio | 95% IC | p | Hratio | 95% IC | p | Hratio | 95% IC | p | Hratio | 95% IC | p | Hratio | 95% IC | p | 95%CI | p | Hratio | 95% IC | p | 95%CI | p | ||
Sex | Female | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Male | 0.586 | [0.331–1.04] | 0.06 | 0.09 | 0.945 | [0.489−1.826] | 0.87 | 0.954 | [0.486–1.874] | 0.89 | 0.908 | [0.454–1.815] | 0.78 | 0.413 | [0.152–1.124] | 0.08 | 0.330 | [0.114–0.954] | 0.04 | 0.95 | [0.481–1.859] | 0.87 | [0.413–2.602] | 0.49 | 0.302 | [0.105–0.868] | 0.03 | [0.037–1.555] | 0.051 | |
Age | Continuous | 0.966 | [0.941–0.992] | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.968 | [0.942−0.994] | 0.02 | 0.971 | [0.943;0.999] | 0.046 | 0.968 | [0.941–0.996] | 0.02 | 0.963 | [0.926–1.002] | 0.06 | 0.956 | [0.916–0.998] | 0.04 | 0.971 | [0.943–1.000] | 0.047 | [0.929–1.005] | 0.037 | 0.951 | [0.910–0.994] | 0.02 | [0.838–1.004] | 0.034 |
WHO performance status | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||
1 | 0.986 | [0.576–1.688] | 0.96 | 0.96 | 0.879 | [0.497−1.554] | 0.66 | 0.830 | [0.459–1.499] | 0.536 | 0.875 | [0.479–1.596] | 0.66 | 0.705 | [0.302–1.643] | 0.42 | 0.850 | [0.375–1.924] | 0.70 | 0.837 | [0.462–1.514] | 0.56 | [0.486–1.764] | 0.44 | 0.665 | [0.291–1.524] | 0.34 | [0.204–2.715] | 0.40 | |
2 | 9.045 | [3.373–24.25] | 1.2E−5 | 1.1E−4 | 7.289 | [2.614−20.323] | 0.0001 | 5.064 | [1.667–15.382] | 0.004 | 6.980 | [2.287–21.301] | 0.0006 | 4.588 | [1.137–18.515] | 0.03 | 5.130 | [1.283–20.521] | 0.02 | 5.071 | [1.657–15.522] | 0.004 | [2.189–42.804] | 0.005 | 3.985 | [0.993–15.988] | 0.051 | – | – | |
Histology | Nonsquamous cell | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Squamous cell | 0.676 | [0.405–1.127] | 0.13 | 0.18 | 0.812 | [0.455−1.449] | 0.48 | 0.913 | [0.507–1.644] | 0.76 | 0.823 | [0.449–1.507] | 0.53 | 1.050 | [0.454–2.429] | 0.91 | 1.256 | [0.503–3.138] | 0.63 | 0.885 | [0.487–1.606] | 0.69 | [0.365–1.934] | 0.36 | 1.301 | [0.536–3.156] | 0.56 | [0.120–5.294] | 0.34 | |
CD8 expression | Low | 1 | - | 1 | - | - | - | 1 | - | |||||||||||||||||||||
High | 0.375 | [0.218−0.646] | 0.0002 | 0.0009 | 0.413 | [0.234−0.732] | 0.002 | 0.437 | [0.243−0.785] | 0.006 | [0.176−0.840] | 0.008 | ||||||||||||||||||
PD-L1 expression (Sp142) | Low | 1 | - | - | 1 | - | - | 1 | - | |||||||||||||||||||||
High | 0.764 | [0.452−1.292] | 0.31 | 0.35 | 0.642 | [0.372−1.109] | 0.11 | 0.759 | [0.436−1.320] | 0.33 | [0.366−2.341] | 0.26 | ||||||||||||||||||
CD8 expression (CD8A) | Low | 1 | 78 | - | - | 1 | - | - | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||
High | 0.14 | [0.033−0.594] | 0.002 | 0.006 | 0.115 | [0.025−0.532] | 0.006 | 0.163 | [0.033−0.798] | 0.03 | [0.001−0.934] | 0.048 | ||||||||||||||||||
PD-L1 expression (CD274) | Low | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||
High | 0.332 | [0.140−0.788] | 0.009 | 0.02 | 0.225 | [0.079−0.638] | 0.005 | 0.366 | [0.127−1.051] | 0.06 | [0.069−1.134] | 0.07 | ||||||||||||||||||
Statistics | AIC | - | 460 | 401 | 408 | 176 | 178 | 402 | 173 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Harrell’s C-statistic | 0.66 | 0.76 | 0.70 | 0.84 | 0.86 | 0.78 | 0.90 | |||||||||||||||||||||||