Table 2 Univariable and multivariable models for predicting U-TXM (based on log-transformed values). Panel A at registration and panel B at the end of the run-in period.
(A) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Baseline characteristic | Univariable models | Multivariable modeld | ||||
Estimate | (95% CI) | P value | Estimate | (95% CI) | P value | |
Tumour type | ||||||
Breast | Reference | – | ||||
Colorectal | 0.28 | (0.16, 0.40) | <0.001 | 0.35 | (0.22, 0.48) | <0.001 |
Gastro-oesophageal | 0.73 | (0.54, 0.92) | <0.001 | 0.71 | (0.51, 0.92) | <0.001 |
Prostate | −0.01 | (−0.13, 0.11) | 0.856 | 0.08 | (−0.12, 0.14) | 0.904 |
Gender | ||||||
Male | Reference | – | ||||
Female | −0.11 | (−0.21, −0.02) | 0.023 | |||
Age at registration (years) | ||||||
<50 years | Reference | − | ||||
50–59 years | 0.03 | (−0.12, 0.18) | 0.656 | |||
60–69 years | 0.02 | (−0.13, 0.16) | 0.836 | |||
70 years or over | 0.15 | (−0.01, 0.31) | 0.063 | |||
BMI | ||||||
BMI < 25 | Reference | – | ||||
BMI 25–29.9 | −0.03 | (−0.15, 0.09) | 0.634 | |||
BMI 30–34.9 | −0.11 | (−0.25, 0.04) | 0.154 | |||
BMI 35 or over | 0.14 | (−0.04, 0.32) | 0.116 | 0.22 | (0.06, 0.39) | 0.008 |
Smoking status | ||||||
Never smoked | Reference | – | ||||
Previous smoker | 0.13 | (0.03, 0.23) | 0.011 | |||
Current smoker | 0.46 | (0.24, 0.68) | <0.001 | |||
Diabetic | ||||||
Not diabetic | Reference | – | ||||
Diabetic | 0.09 | (−0.13, 0.31) | 0.414 | |||
Receiving BP treatment | ||||||
No BP treatment | Reference | – | ||||
On BP treatment | −0.02 | (−0.14, 0.09) | 0.688 | |||
Statin use in last week | ||||||
No recent statin use | Reference | – | ||||
Statins within last week | −0.06 | (−0.19, 0.08) | 0.428 | |||
Neutrophils (109/L) | ||||||
Neutrophils <5.0 × 109/L | Reference | – | ||||
Neutrophils ≥5.0 × 109/L | 0.31 | (0.15, 0.46) | <0.001 | 0.25 | (0.09, 0.41) | 0.003 |
Total WCC (109/L) | ||||||
Total WCC < 8.0 × 109/L | Reference | – | ||||
Total WCC ≥ 8.0 × 109/L | 0.42 | (0.24, 0.60) | <0.001 | |||
Platelet count (109/L) | ||||||
Platelet count <350 × 109/L | Reference | – | ||||
Platelet count ≥350 × 109/L | 0.32 | (0.10, 0.54) | 0.005 | 0.26 | (0.03, 0.50) | 0.027 |
Raised LDL, total cholesterol or non-HDL | ||||||
Normal cholesterol levels | Reference | – | ||||
Raised LDL, total cholesterol or non-HDLa | −0.02 | (−0.13, 0.08) | 0.647 | |||
CRP result (categorised) | ||||||
CRP ≤ 5 | Reference | – | ||||
CRP > 5 | 0.18 | (0.03, 0.33) | 0.017 | 0.16 | (0.003, 0.31) | 0.046 |
Higher-risk disease | ||||||
Lower-risk disease | Reference | – | ||||
Higher-risk diseaseb | 0.10 | (0.00, 0.20) | 0.049 | |||
Primary treatment details | ||||||
Surgery, no adjuvant chemo | Reference | – | ||||
Surgery and adjuvant chemo | 0.21 | (0.10, 0.32) | <0.001 | |||
Radical RT or CRT | −0.05 | (−0.20, 0.11) | 0.538 | |||
Timing of surgery/primary treatment | ||||||
6–12 weeks since surgeryc | Reference | – | ||||
>12 weeks since surgery | 0.11 | (−0.01, 0.24) | 0.074 | |||
Radical RT or CRT | −0.09 | (−0.26, 0.08) | 0.282 | |||
(B) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Baseline characteristic | Univariable modelsd | Multivariable modeld | ||||
Estimate | (95% CI) | P value | Estimate | (95% CI) | P value | |
Tumour type | ||||||
Breast | Reference | – | ||||
Colorectal | 0.11 | (−0.02, 0.24) | 0.086 | |||
Gastro-oesophageal | 0.11 | (−0.10, 0.32) | 0.306 | |||
Prostate | 0.00 | (−0.12, 0.12) | 0.975 | |||
Gender | ||||||
Male | Reference | – | ||||
Female | −0.07 | (−0.17, 0.03) | 0.150 | |||
Age at registration (years) | ||||||
<50 years | Reference | – | ||||
50–59 years | 0.03 | (−0.12, 0.18) | 0.663 | |||
60–69 years | −0.01 | (−0.15, 0.13) | 0.915 | |||
70 years or over | 0.13 | (−0.03, 0.28) | 0.120 | 0.13 | (0.003, 0.27) | 0.045 |
BMI | ||||||
BMI < 25 | Reference | – | ||||
BMI 25–29.9 | −0.09 | (−0.21, 0.03) | 0.162 | |||
BMI 30–34.9 | 0.03 | (−0.11, 0.18) | 0.642 | |||
BMI 35 or over | 0.05 | (−0.13, 0.22) | 0.604 | |||
Smoking status | ||||||
Never smoked | Reference | – | ||||
Previous smoker | 0.12 | (0.02, 0.22) | 0.024 | 0.16 | (0.05, 0.26) | 0.005 |
Current smoker | 0.22 | (−0.01, 0.44) | 0.064 | 0.31 | (0.04, 0.57) | 0.025 |
Diabetic | ||||||
Not diabetic | Reference | – | ||||
Diabetic | 0.30 | (0.08, 0.52) | 0.008 | 0.31 | (0.06, 0.56) | 0.014 |
Receiving BP treatment | ||||||
No BP treatment | Reference | – | ||||
On BP treatment | 0.08 | (−0.03, 0.20) | 0.156 | |||
Statin use in last week | ||||||
No recent statin use | Reference | – | ||||
Statins within last week | 0.11 | (−0.03, 0.24) | 0.134 | |||
Neutrophils (109/L) | ||||||
Neutrophils <5.0 × 109/L | Reference | – | ||||
Neutrophils ≥5.0 × 109/L | 0.21 | (0.05, 0.37) | 0.011 | 0.23 | (0.06, 0.40) | 0.008 |
Total WCC (109/L) | ||||||
Total WCC < 8.0 × 109/L | Reference | – | ||||
Total WCC ≥ 8.0 × 109/L | 0.18 | (−0.01, 0.37) | 0.067 | |||
Platelet count (109/L) | ||||||
Platelet count <350 × 109/L | Reference | – | ||||
Platelet count ≥350 × 109/L | −0.04 | (−0.27, 0.19) | 0.748 | |||
Raised LDL, total cholesterol or non-HDL | ||||||
Normal cholesterol levels | Reference | – | ||||
Raised LDL, total cholesterol or non-HDLa | −0.04 | (−0.14, 0.07) | 0.457 | |||
CRP result (categorised) | ||||||
CRP ≤ 5 | Reference | – | ||||
CRP > 5 | 0.22 | (0.06, 0.37) | 0.006 | |||
Higher-risk disease | ||||||
Lower-risk disease | Reference | – | ||||
Higher-risk diseaseb | −0.09 | (−0.19, 0.01) | 0.083 | |||
Primary treatment details | ||||||
Surgery, no adjuvant chemo | Reference | – | ||||
Surgery and adjuvant chemo | 0.02 | (−0.09, 0.13) | 0.664 | |||
Radical RT or CRT | 0.04 | (−0.11, 0.20) | 0.577 | |||
Timing of surgery/primary treatment | ||||||
6–12 weeks since surgeryc | Reference | – | ||||
>12 weeks since surgery | 0.06 | (−0.07, 0.18) | 0.380 | |||
Radical RT or CRT | 0.07 | (−0.10, 0.24) | 0.418 | |||