Table 4 Comparison of the waist circumference-years metrics, single waist circumference and body mass index using Harrell’s C-statistic, ARIC.

From: Waist circumference-years and cancer risk: a prospective study of the association and comparison of predictive performance with waist circumference and body mass index

Characteristic

(a) Harrell’s C-statistic (95% CI)

WC-years

Single WC

Difference in c-statistic between single WC vs WC-years

Single BMI

Difference in c-statistic between single BMI vs WC-years

Difference in c-statistic between single BMI vs single WC

Cumulative degree of excess WC

Cumulative duration of excess WC

Difference in c-statistic between cumulative WC duration and WC degree

Men

All cancers

0.587 (0.578,0.597)

0.585 (0.576,0.595)

–0.002 (-0.007,0.002)

0.584 (0.575,0.594)

–0.003 (-0.008,0.002)

–0.001 (–0.004,0.002)

0.588 (0.578,0.597)

0.585 (0.576,0.595)

–0.002 (–0.008,0.004)

OR-cancers

0.581 (0.562,0.601)

0.580 (0.560,0.599)

–0.002 (-0.013,0.010)

0.578 (0.558,0.598)

–0.004 (-0.015,0.008)

–0.002 (–0.011,0.007)

0.581 (0.562,0.602)

0.572 (0.553,0.592)

–0.009 (–0.023,0.004)

NOR-cancers

0.593 (0.582,0.604)

0.592 (0.582,0.603)

–0.001 (-0.011,0.009)

0.593 (0.582,0.603)

–0.001 (-0.010,0.009)

0.000 (–0.007,0.008)

0.593 (0.582,0.604)

0.592 (0.582,0.603)

–0.000 (–0.008,0.007)

NOR-cancers excluding lung and prostate

0.600 (0.583,0.619)

0.600 (0.583,0.618)

–0.000 (-0.008,0.007)

0.600 (0.582,0.618)

–0.001 (-0.008,0.007)

–0.000 (–0.005,0.004)

0.600 (0.583,0.619)

0.599 (0.581,0.617)

–0.001 (–0.010,0.007)

Colorectal

0.638 (0.607,0.670)

0.630 (0.600,0.662)

–0.007 (-0.025,0.010)

0.629 (0.599,0.661)

–0.009 (-0.028,0.011)

–0.001 (–0.014,0.011)

0.638 (0.607,0.670)

0.629 (0.598,0.661)

–0.009 (–0.029,0.011)

Pancreas

0.644 (0.596,0.696)

0.643 (0.595,0.695)

0.016 (-0.020,0.051)

0.644 (0.595,0.696)

0.027 (-0.016,0.070)

0.011 (–0.009,0.031)

0.644 (0.596,0.696)

0.641 (0.592,0.693)

0.032 (–0.018,0.084)

Kidney

0.655 (0.606,0.707)

0.657 (0.609,0.710)

–0.001 (-0.005,0.003)

0.653 (0.606,0.704)

–0.001 (-0.005,0.004)

0.001 (–0.003, 0.004)

0.655 (0.606,0.707)

0.707 (0.658,0.760)

–0.004 (–0.014,0.008)

Bladder

0.612 (0.569,0.657)

0.627 (0.585,0.672)

0.003 (-0.025, 0.030)

0.638 (0.596,0.684)

–0.007 (-0.029,0.025)

–0.005 (–0.019,0.010)

0.615 (0.572,0.661)

0.648 (0.604,0.694)

0.053 (0.004,0.102)

Lung

0.722 (0.701,0.743)

0.730 (0.709,0.752)

0.008 (-0.003,0.019)

0.739 (0.717,0.761)

0.017 (-0.000,0.034)

0.009 (0.001,0.017)

0.722 (0.701,0.743)

0.724 (0.703,0.745)

0.002 (–0.001,0.005)

Prostate

0.588 (0.573,0.603)

0.588 (0.574,0.603)

0.000 (-0.001,0.002)

0.588 (0.576,0.603)

0.000 (-0.002,0.002)

0.000 (–0.001,0.001)

0.588 (0.573,0.603)

0.588 (0.573,0.603)

0.000 (–0.003,0.003)

Metastatic Prostate

0.573 (0.525,0.626)

0.585 (0.534,0.640)

0.012 (-0.033,0.057)

0.588 (0.535,0.647)

0.015 (-0.047,0.077)

0.003 (–0.032,0.039)

0.573 (0.525,0.626)

0.552 (0.511,0.597)

–0.021 (–0.097,0.055)

Women

All cancers

0.576 (0.565,0.586)

0.579 (0.568,0.590)

0.003 (–0.004,0.011)

0.578 (0.567,0.588)

0.002 (-0.007,0.011)

–0.001 (–0.010,0.007)

0.579 (0.569,0.590)

0.578 (0.568,0.589)

–0.001 (–0.014,0.011)

OR-cancers

0.577 (0.564,0.589)

0.574 (0.562,0.570)

–0.002 (–0.013,0.009)

0.568 (0.556,0.581)

–0.008 (-0.019,0.003)

–0.006 (–0.014,0.003)

0.577 (0.564,0.590)

0.575 (0.562,0.588)

–0.0022 (–0.016,0.012)

NOR-cancers

0.628 (0.611,0.644)

0.628 (0.612,0.645)

0.001 (-0.002,0.003)

0.629 (0.613,0.645)

0.001 (-0.002,0.005)

0.001 (–0.001,0.002)

0.628 (0.611,0.644)

0.629 (0.612,0.645)

0.001 (–0.002,0.004)

NOR-cancers excluding lung

0.578 (0.560,0.597)

0.582 (0.565,0.601)

0.005 (-0.003,0.012)

0.588 (0.571,0.607)

0.011 (-0.000,0.022)

0.006 (0.000,0.013)

0.5782 (0.560,0.597)

0.579 (0.561,0.598)

0.001 (–0.004,0.006)

Colorectal

0.618 (0.588,0.650)

0.590 (0.559,0.621)

–0.029 (–0.051, –0.006)

0.586 (0.556,0.618)

–0.032 (–0.061,–0.004)

–0.004 (–0.015,0.008)

0.617 (0.587,0.649)

0.617 (0.586,0.650)

–0.001 (–0.028,0.027)

Pancreas

0.622 (0.565,0.685)

0.625 (0.568,0.688)

0.003 (–0.015,0.021)

0.614 (0.559,0.674)

–0.008 (–0.041,0.025)

–0.011 (–0.047,0.025)

0.622 (0.565,0.685)

0.628 (0.571,0.690)

0.006 (–0.036,0.048)

Kidney

0.653 (0.596,0.715)

0.661 (0.601,0.727)

0.008 (–0.023,0.040)

0.656 (0.596,0.719)

0.002 (–0.015,0.019)

–0.007 (–0.034,0.021)

0.654 (0.597,0.716)

0.653 (0.591,0.723)

–0.001 (–0.061,0.060)

Lung

0.761 (0.733,0.789)

0.761 (0.733,0.789)

0.000 (–0.001,0.001)

0.761 (0.733,0.789)

0.000 (–0.001,0.002)

–0.000 (–0.002,0.002)

0.761 (0.733,0.789)

0.762 (0.735,0.790)

0.007 (–0.001,0.004)

Endometrial

0.687 (0.638,0.739)

0.710 (0.662,0.760)

0.023 (–0.008,0.054)

0.697 (0.650,0.746)

0.010 (–0.021,0.041)

–0.013 (–0.036,0.010)

0.6883 (0.64,0.741)

0.676 (0.632,0.723)

–0.012 (–0.042,0.017)

Ovarian

0.621 (0.567,0.680)

0.626 (0.571,0.687)

0.005 (–0.016,0.026)

0.620 (0.566,0.679)

–0.001 (–0.014,0.011)

–0.006 (–0.028,0.016)

0.6216 (0.568,0.681)

0.643 (0.591,0.700)

0.022 (–0.011,0.054)

Post-menopausal breast cancer

0.576 (0.559,0.595)

0.583 (0.565,0.601)

0.006 (–0.006,0.018)

0.584 (0.566,0.602)

0.007 (–0.005,0.019)

0.001 (–0.007,0.009)

0.577 (0.559,0.595)

0.584 (0.566,0.603)

0.007 (–0.006,0.021)

  1. * Multivariable adjustment for baseline age, race, alcohol, smoking and HRT (in women).
  2. OBR obesity-related, NOR non-obesity related, BMI body mass index, CI confidence interval, WC waist circumference.