Abstract
Background
Intraocular foreign bodies (IOFBs) constitute a significant public health concern that hinders the accumulation of human capital in countries in Asia. This research aims to identify and project the time trend of the IOFB disease burden in Asia to 2035.
Methods
We utilised data collected from the Global Health Data Exchange (GHDx) query tool. Time Trends of disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and incidence of IOFBs were calculated. Age- and gender-specific disease burden of IOFBs in 2019 was also analysed. A Bayesian age-period cohort (BAPC) model with integrated nested Laplace approximations (INLA) was applied to project the number and rate of the disease burden attributable to IOFB from 2020 to 2035.
Results
In Asia, the DALYs number increased from 290,521.62 (95% UI: 146,816.5–513,604.1) in 1990 to 388,363.39 (95% UI: 206,296.3–668,164.9) in 2019. The number of DALYs showed an upward trend until the age of 45–49 years, and then decreased in later age groups. The age-standardised incidence rate (ASIR) of China is projected to increase substantially from 719.03 in 2019 to 3127.06 in 2035. Singapore is projected to experience a slight decline, while the remaining six countries are projected to have slight, steady increases in ASIR.
Conclusion
Countries in Asia are facing a huge disease burden of IOFB, and ASIRs are projected to increase over the next 15 years in most Asian countries. These findings contribute valuable evidence-based guidance for public health policy in disease prevention, medical planning and resource allocation pertaining to IOFBs in Asia.
This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution
Access options




Similar content being viewed by others
Data availability
The datasets generated during and analysed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.
References
Pelletier J, Koyfman A, Long B. High risk and low prevalence diseases: open globe injury. Am J Emerg Med. 2023;64:113–20. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ajem.2022.11.036.
Loporchio D, Mukkamala L, Gorukanti K, Zarbin M, Langer P, Bhagat N. Intraocular foreign bodies: a review. Surv Ophthalmol. 2016;61:582–96. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.survophthal.2016.03.005.
Luo H, Shrestha S, Zhang X, Saaddine J, Zeng X, Reeder T. Trends in eye injuries and associated medical costs among children in the United States, 2002–2014. Ophthalmic Epidemiol. 2018;25:280–7. https://doi.org/10.1080/09286586.2018.1441425.
Mahjoub H, Ssekasanvu J, Yonekawa Y, Justin GA, Cavuoto KM, Lorch A, et al. Most common ophthalmic diagnoses in eye emergency departments: a multicenter study. Am J Ophthalmol. 2023;254:36–43. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ajo.2023.03.016.
Nelson PC, Mulla ZD. The cost of hospitalized ocular injuries in Texas, 2013–2014. Ophthalmic Epidemiol. 2020;27:409–16. https://doi.org/10.1080/09286586.2020.1766512.
Lee BWH, Hunter D, Robaei DS, Samarawickrama C. Open globe injuries: epidemiology, visual and surgical predictive variables, prognostic models, and economic cost analysis. Clin Exp Ophthalmol. 2021;49:336–46. https://doi.org/10.1111/ceo.13944.
Jin G, Zou M, Zhang Y, Chen A, Young CA, Li Y, et al. Time trends, associations and global burden of intraocular foreign bodies. Br J Ophthalmol. 2022;106:435–9. https://doi.org/10.1136/bjophthalmol-2020-317063.
Pavlenko D, Shultz JM, Kaler CJ, Johnson TE. Ocular health and eye care services during the full-scale war in Ukraine. Am J Ophthalmol. 2022;242:A1–A3. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ajo.2022.06.004.
Halawa OA, Friedman DS, Roldan AM, Zebardast N. Changing trends in ocular trauma during the COVID-19 pandemic in the USA. Br J Ophthalmol. 2023;107:295–8. https://doi.org/10.1136/bjophthalmol-2021-319627.
Yu H, Xu M, Zhao Y, Li J, Wu W, Feng Y. COVID-19 changed prevalence, disease spectrum and management strategies of ocular trauma. Front Med. 2022;8. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmed.2021.774493.
Kousiouris P, Klavdianou O, Douglas KAA, Gouliopoulos N, Chatzistefanou K, Kantzanou M, et al. Role of socioeconomic status (SES) in globe injuries: a review. Clin Ophthalmol. 2022;16:25–31. https://doi.org/10.2147/OPTH.S317017.
Paz LS. The China shock impact on labor informality: the effects on Brazilian manufacturing workers. Economies. 2022;10. https://doi.org/10.3390/economies10050109.
Sun Y, Chen A, Zou M, Liu Z, Young CA, Zheng D, et al. Disease burden of glaucoma in China: Findings from the global burden of disease 2019 study. Clin Epidemiol. 2022;14:827–34. https://doi.org/10.2147/clep.S357188.
Liu CCH, Tong JMK, Li PSH, Li KKW. Epidemiology and clinical outcome of intraocular foreign bodies in Hong Kong: a 13-year review. Int Ophthalmol. 2017;37:55–61. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10792-016-0225-4.
Wang W, Zhou Y, Zeng J, Shi M, Chen B. Epidemiology and clinical characteristics of patients hospitalized for ocular trauma in South-Central China. Acta Ophthalmol. 2017;95:e503–e10. https://doi.org/10.1111/aos.13438.
Minderhoud J, van Nispen RMA, Heijthuijsen AAAM, Beunders VAA, Bueno de Mesquita-Voigt A-MT, Moll AC, et al. Epidemiology and aetiology of childhood ocular trauma in the Republic of Suriname. Acta Ophthalmol. 2016;94:479–84. https://doi.org/10.1111/aos.13000.
Chang T, Zhang Y, Liu L, Zhang K, Zhang X, Wang M, et al. Epidemiology, clinical characteristics, and visual outcomes of patients with intraocular foreign bodies in southwest China: a 10-year review. Ophthalmic Res. 2021;64:494–502. https://doi.org/10.1159/000513043.
Yuan M, Lu Q. Trends and disparities in the incidence of intraocular foreign bodies 1990-2019: a global analysis. Front Public Health. 2022;10:858455. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2022.858455.
Global burden of 369 diseases and injuries in 204 countries and territories, 1990-2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. Lancet. 2020;396:1204–22. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30925-9.
Hu Y, Tong Z, Huang X, Qin J-J, Lin L, Lei F, et al. The projections of global and regional rheumatic heart disease burden from 2020 to 2030. Front Cardiovasc Med. 2022;9:941917. https://doi.org/10.3389/fcvm.2022.941917.
Riebler A, Held L. Projecting the future burden of cancer: Bayesian age-period-cohort analysis with integrated nested Laplace approximations. Biom J. 2017;59:531–49. https://doi.org/10.1002/bimj.201500263.
Gascoigne C, Riebler A, Smith T. Smooth predictions for age-period-cohort models: a comparison between splines and random process. BMC Med Res Methodol. 2025;28;25:177. https://arxiv.org/abs/2312.09698.
Chen H, Jhanji V, Agrawal R, Yan H. Editorial: updates on ocular trauma. Front Med. 2022;9:906253 https://doi.org/10.3389/fmed.2022.906253.
Casini G, Sartini F, Loiudice P, Benini G, Menchini M. Ocular siderosis: a misdiagnosed cause of visual loss due to ferrous intraocular foreign bodies-epidemiology, pathogenesis, clinical signs, imaging and available treatment options. Doc Ophthalmol. 2021;142:133–52. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10633-020-09792-x.
Sun Y, Hu R, Zhang C. Impact of rural–urban migration experience on rice farmers’ agricultural machinery expenditure: evidence from China. Agriculture. 2021;11:764.
Cheng H, Jia R, Li D, Li H. The rise of robots in China. J Econ Perspect. 2019;33:71–88. https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.33.2.71.
Wang N, Xie X. The impact of race, income, drug abuse and dependence on health insurance coverage among US adults. Eur J Health Econ. 2017;18:537–46. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10198-016-0802-5.
Cui H, Sun HX, Wang ZZ, Liu L, Wang S, Qu JC, et al. Analysis of the incidence and burden of intraocular foreign bodies in China based on age-period-cohort model. Zhonghua Yan Ke Za Zhi. 2023;59:650–6. https://doi.org/10.3760/cma.j.cn112142-20230406-00142.
Ren H, Jiang B, Liu G, Lu P. Global, regional, and national burdens of intraocular foreign bodies in children and adolescents from 1990 to 2019: a trend analysis. BMC Public Health. 2023;23:2489. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-023-17401-0.
ASEAN Secretariat. ASEAN Guidelines for Occupational Safety and Health Jakarta: ASEAN Secretariat; 2013. https://asean.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/07/ASEAN-Guidelines-for-Occupational-Safety-and-Health.pdf.
Shan Y, Chen F, Xu D, Jia W, Hao S. Global, regional and national patterns and gender disparity of intraocular foreign bodies from 1990 to 2021. Front Public Health. 2025;13:1620358 https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2025.1620358.
International Labour Organization. Safety and health at work in Asia and the Pacific Geneva (Switzerland): International Labour Organization; 2023. https://www.ilo.org/resource/safety-and-health-work-asia-and-pacific-0.
Zhang Y, Zhang M, Jiang C, Qiu HY. Intraocular foreign bodies in china: clinical characteristics, prognostic factors, and visual outcomes in 1,421 eyes. Am J Ophthalmol. 2011;152. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ajo.2011.01.014.
Acknowledgements
This work was supported by National Key Research and Development Program of China(2023YFE0203100) and the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 82271051, 82070926).
Funding
This work was supported by National Key Research and Development Program of China(2023YFE0203100) and the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 82271051, 82070926).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Contributions
Bo Yang and Haozhe Yu contributed equally. Contributors Bo Yang and Haozhe Yu designed the research, drafted the manuscript and participated in data analysis. Bo Yang was responsible for the data collection and accessed and verified the data. Haozhe Yu was responsible for the refinement of the content and language of the manuscript. Richard Blanch, Annette Hoskin, Amanda M Staudt and Rupesh Agrawal were responsible for revising and polishing the manuscript. Yun Feng was involved in critically designing the research and revising the manuscript. Yun Feng was guarantor.
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Competing interests
The authors declare no competing interests.
Additional information
Publisher’s note Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Supplementary information
Rights and permissions
Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.
About this article
Cite this article
Yang, B., Yu, H., Blanch, R. et al. Intraocular foreign bodies in Asia: insights from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 Study. Eye (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41433-026-04399-z
Received:
Revised:
Accepted:
Published:
Version of record:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41433-026-04399-z


