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Causal relationship between aspirin use and age-related macular degeneration

Abstract

Objective

Although increasing evidence suggests an association between aspirin use and age-related macular degeneration (AMD), the potential causal relationship between them remains controversial. This study aims to explore the causal genetic association and potential mediators between aspirin use and AMD using Mendelian randomisation (MR) analysis.

Methods

A bidirectional, two-sample, two-step MR analysis was performed to assess the potential causal relationships among aspirin use, AMD, and possible mediators. Multivariable MR was additionally performed to estimate the direct effect of aspirin use on AMD after adjusting for mediators. Causal estimates were primarily derived using an inverse variance weighted method. Horizontal pleiotropy, heterogeneity, and stability were evaluated using the MR-Egger intercept test, Cochran’s Q test, and leave-one-out analysis.

Results

An MR analysis revealed that aspirin use was associated with an increased risk of both early and dry AMD. A mediation analysis indicated that aspirin use is associated with a lower level of serum low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), an elevated serum apolipoprotein A1 (APOA1) concentration, and an increased risk of early and dry AMD. Multivariable MR analysis further showed that after adjusting for LDL-C and APOA1, the direct effect of aspirin on AMD was attenuated to non-significance.

Conclusion

This study provides robust genetic evidence that aspirin use is associated with an increased risk of early and dry AMD, and demonstrates that this association is fully mediated by decreased serum LDL-C and increased serum APOA1 levels, with no evidence of a direct effect independent of these lipid pathways.

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Fig. 1: Schematic overview of the MR study design.
The alternative text for this image may have been generated using AI.
Fig. 2: Scatter plots of MR analysis of aspirin use and AMD using five different MR methods to assess the causal effects.
The alternative text for this image may have been generated using AI.
Fig. 3: Scatter plots for the causal association among aspirin use, AMD and mediators.
The alternative text for this image may have been generated using AI.

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Data availability

The datasets generated and analysed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.

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Acknowledgements

We thank all participants and investigators from the UK Biobank, FinnGen study, and IEU GWAS database.

Funding

This work was supported by grants from the National Key R&D Program of China (2023YFC2506100), the National Natural Science Foundation of China (82220108016 and U25A6002), the Guangzhou Basic Research Program (2024A03J0263 and 2024A03J0172), the Program for Supporting and Cultivating Outstanding Scientific and Technological Talents, Zhongshan Ophthalmic Center, Sun Yat-sen University (GCCRC-2026006), and the GBRCE for Major Blinding Eye Diseases Prevention and Treatment, and Research Funds of the State Key Laboratory of Ophthalmology (20250ZLH08).

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Zijun Zhen, Rongyuan Chen, and Xuri Li were responsible for designing the study. Juanhua Zhu, Chenggong Zeng, and Rongsui Tang were responsible for collecting and analysing data. Weiwei Lu and Shasha Wang were responsible for interpreting the results. Juanhua Zhu and Chenggong Zeng were responsible for writing the manuscript. Lijuan Huang and Zhen Xiong were responsible for providing critical revisions that are important for the intellectual content. Aijun Deng was responsible for providing feedback on the report. Zijun Zhen, Rongyuan Chen, and Xuri Li were responsible for approving the final version of the manuscript.

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Correspondence to Zijun Zhen, Rongyuan Chen or Xuri Li.

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Zhu, J., Zeng, C., Tang, R. et al. Causal relationship between aspirin use and age-related macular degeneration. Eye (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41433-026-04574-2

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