Abstract
Objective
Although increasing evidence suggests an association between aspirin use and age-related macular degeneration (AMD), the potential causal relationship between them remains controversial. This study aims to explore the causal genetic association and potential mediators between aspirin use and AMD using Mendelian randomisation (MR) analysis.
Methods
A bidirectional, two-sample, two-step MR analysis was performed to assess the potential causal relationships among aspirin use, AMD, and possible mediators. Multivariable MR was additionally performed to estimate the direct effect of aspirin use on AMD after adjusting for mediators. Causal estimates were primarily derived using an inverse variance weighted method. Horizontal pleiotropy, heterogeneity, and stability were evaluated using the MR-Egger intercept test, Cochran’s Q test, and leave-one-out analysis.
Results
An MR analysis revealed that aspirin use was associated with an increased risk of both early and dry AMD. A mediation analysis indicated that aspirin use is associated with a lower level of serum low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), an elevated serum apolipoprotein A1 (APOA1) concentration, and an increased risk of early and dry AMD. Multivariable MR analysis further showed that after adjusting for LDL-C and APOA1, the direct effect of aspirin on AMD was attenuated to non-significance.
Conclusion
This study provides robust genetic evidence that aspirin use is associated with an increased risk of early and dry AMD, and demonstrates that this association is fully mediated by decreased serum LDL-C and increased serum APOA1 levels, with no evidence of a direct effect independent of these lipid pathways.
This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution
Access options
Subscribe to this journal
Receive 18 print issues and online access
$259.00 per year
only $14.39 per issue
Buy this article
- Purchase on SpringerLink
- Instant access to the full article PDF.
USD 39.95
Prices may be subject to local taxes which are calculated during checkout



Similar content being viewed by others
Data availability
The datasets generated and analysed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.
References
Fleckenstein M, Keenan TDL, Guymer RH, Chakravarthy U, Schmitz-Valckenberg S, Klaver CC, et al. Age-related macular degeneration. Nat Rev Dis Prim. 2021;7:31.
Guymer RH, Campbell TG. Age-related macular degeneration. Lancet. 2023;401:1459–72.
Stahl A. The diagnosis and treatment of age-related macular degeneration. Dtsch Ärztebl Int. 2020;117:513–20.
Han X, Chen Y, Gordon I, Safi S, Lingham G, Evans J, et al. A systematic review of clinical practice guidelines for age-related macular degeneration. Ophthalmic Epidemiol. 2023;30:213–20.
Ricci F, Bandello F, Navarra P, Staurenghi G, Stumpp M, Zarbin M. Neovascular age-related macular degeneration: therapeutic management and new-upcoming approaches. Int J Mol Sci. 2020;21.
Holz FG, Sadda SR, Busbee B, Chew EY, Mitchell P, Tufail A, et al. Efficacy and safety of Lampalizumab for geographic atrophy due to age-related macular degeneration: Chroma and Spectri Phase 3 randomized clinical trials. JAMA Ophthalmol. 2018;136:666–77.
Heier JS, Lad EM, Holz FG, Rosenfeld PJ, Guymer RH, Boyer D, et al. Pegcetacoplan for the treatment of geographic atrophy secondary to age-related macular degeneration (OAKS and DERBY): two multicentre, randomised, double-masked, sham-controlled, phase 3 trials. Lancet. 2023;402:1434–48.
Montinari MR, Minelli S, De Caterina R. The first 3500 years of aspirin history from its roots - A concise summary. Vasc Pharm. 2019;113:1–8.
Vane JR, Botting RM. The mechanism of action of aspirin. Thromb Res. 2003;110:255–8.
Baigent C, Blackwell L, Collins R, Emberson J, Godwin J, Peto R, et al. Aspirin in the primary and secondary prevention of vascular disease: collaborative meta-analysis of individual participant data from randomised trials. Lancet. 2009;373:1849–60.
Fanaroff AC, Hasselblad V, Roe MT, Bhatt DL, James SK, Steg PG, et al. Antithrombotic agents for secondary prevention after acute coronary syndromes: A systematic review and network meta-analysis. Int J Cardiol. 2017;241:87–96.
Lièvre M, Cucherat M. Aspirin in the secondary prevention of cardiovascular disease: an update of the APTC meta-analysis. Fundam Clin Pharm. 2010;24:385–91.
Desborough MJR, Keeling DM. The aspirin story - from willow to wonder drug. Br J Haematol. 2017;177:674–83.
Anderson DH, Radeke MJ, Gallo NB, Chapin EA, Johnson PT, Curletti CR, et al. The pivotal role of the complement system in aging and age-related macular degeneration: hypothesis re-visited. Prog Retin Eye Res. 2010;29.
Tzoumas N, Riding G, Williams MA, Steel DH. Complement inhibitors for age-related macular degeneration. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2023;6:CD009300.
Xu X, Ritz B, Coleman AL, Liew Z, Deapen D, Lee E, et al. Non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drug use and risk of age-related macular degeneration in the California Teachers Study. Drugs Aging. 2021;38:817–28.
Yang T-M, Huang W-L, Yang C-H, Yang C-M, Ho T-C, Chen T-C, et al. Association between non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drug use and development of age-related macular degeneration-A 10-year retrospective cohort study. J Formos Med Assoc. 2024;123:467–77.
Modjtahedi BS, Fong DS, Jorgenson E, Van Den Eeden SK, Quinn V, Slezak JM. The relationship between nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug use and age-related macular degeneration. Am J Ophthalmol. 2018;188:111–22.
Christen WG, Glynn RJ, Ajani UA, Schaumberg DA, Chew EY, Buring JE, et al. Age-related maculopathy in a randomized trial of low-dose aspirin among US physicians. Arch Ophthalmol. 2001;119:1143–9.
Lee W-JA, Yang Y-HK, Cheng C-L. Risk of age-related macular degeneration in aspirin users and non-aspirin users: A population-based cohort study in Taiwan. Pharmacoepidemiol Drug Saf. 2021;30:178–88.
de Jong PTVM, Chakravarthy U, Rahu M, Seland J, Soubrane G, Topouzis F, et al. Associations between aspirin use and aging macula disorder: the European Eye Study. Ophthalmology. 2012;119:112–8.
el Baba F, Jarrett WH, Harbin TS, Fine SL, Michels RG, Schachat AP, et al. Massive hemorrhage complicating age-related macular degeneration Clinicopathologic correlation role of anticoagulants.Ophthalmolgy. 1986;93:1581–92.
Kiernan DF, Hariprasad SM, Rusu IM, Mehta SV, Mieler WF, Jager RD. Epidemiology of the association between anticoagulants and intraocular hemorrhage in patients with neovascular age-related macular degeneration. Retina. 2010;30:1573–8.
Klein BEK, Howard KP, Gangnon RE, Dreyer JO, Lee KE, Klein R. Long-term use of aspirin and age-related macular degeneration. JAMA. 2012;308:2469–78.
Liew G, Mitchell P, Wong TY, Rochtchina E, Wang JJ. The association of aspirin use with age-related macular degeneration. JAMA Intern Med. 2013;173:258–64.
Christen WG, Glynn RJ, Chew EY, Buring JE. Low-dose aspirin and medical record-confirmed age-related macular degeneration in a randomized trial of women. Ophthalmology. 2009;116:2386–92.
Buitendijk GHS, Schauwvlieghe A-SME, Vingerling JR, Schlingemann RO, Klaver CCW. Antiplatelet and anticoagulant drugs do not affect visual outcome in neovascular age-related macular degeneration in the BRAMD Trial. Am J Ophthalmol. 2018;187:130–7.
Rim TH, Yoo TK, Kwak J, Lee JS, Kim SH, Kim DW, et al. Long-term regular use of low-dose aspirin and neovascular age-related macular degeneration: National Sample Cohort 2010-2015. Ophthalmology. 2019;126:274–82.
Keenan TD, Wiley HE, Agrón E, Aronow ME, Christen WG, Clemons TE, et al. The association of aspirin use with age-related macular degeneration progression in the age-related eye disease studies: Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 Report No. 20. Ophthalmology. 2019;126:1647–56.
Robman LD, Wolfe R, Woods RL, Thao LTP, Makeyeva GA, Hodgson LAB, et al. Effect of low-dose aspirin on the course of age-related macular degeneration: a secondary analysis of the ASPREE randomized clinical trial. JAMA Ophthalmol. 2024;142:627–35.
Smith GD, Ebrahim S. ‘Mendelian randomization’: can genetic epidemiology contribute to understanding environmental determinants of disease? Int J Epidemiol. 2003;32.
Thanassoulis G, O’Donnell CJ. Mendelian randomization: nature’s randomized trial in the post-genome era. JAMA. 2009;301:2386–8.
Julian TH, Cooper-Knock J, MacGregor S, Guo H, Aslam T, Sanderson E, et al. Phenome-wide Mendelian randomisation analysis identifies causal factors for age-related macular degeneration. Elife. 2023;12.
Han X, Ong J-S, An J, Hewitt AW, Gharahkhani P, MacGregor S. Using Mendelian randomization to evaluate the causal relationship between serum C-reactive protein levels and age-related macular degeneration. Eur J Epidemiol. 2020;35:139–46.
Wang T, Chen J, Wang J, Zhang Y, Mao W, Yi Q. 91 Circulating inflammatory proteins and the risk of age-related macular degeneration: A bidirectional Mendelian randomization study. Int Immunopharmacol. 2024;139:112678.
Han G, Wei P, He M, Jia L, Su Q, Yang X, et al. Role of plasma fatty acid in age-related macular degeneration: insights from a Mendelian randomization analysis. Lipids Health Dis. 2024;23:206.
Li F-F, Wang Y, Chen L, Chen C, Chen Q, Xiang L, et al. Causal effects of serum lipid biomarkers on early age-related macular degeneration using Mendelian randomization. Genes Nutr. 2023;18:11.
Han X, Ong J-S, Hewitt AW, Gharahkhani P, MacGregor S. The effects of eight serum lipid biomarkers on age-related macular degeneration risk: a Mendelian randomization study. Int J Epidemiol. 2021;50:325–36.
Kuan V, Warwick A, Hingorani A, Tufail A, Cipriani V, Burgess S, et al. Association of Smoking, Alcohol Consumption, Blood Pressure, Body Mass Index, and glycemic risk factors with age-related macular degeneration: A Mendelian randomization study. JAMA Ophthalmol. 2021;139:1299–306.
Chen L, Qiu W, Sun X, Gao M, Zhao Y, Li M, et al. Novel insights into causal effects of serum lipids and lipid-modifying targets on cholelithiasis. Gut. 2024;73:521–32.
Klimentidis YC, Arora A, Newell M, Zhou J, Ordovas JM, Renquist BJ, et al. Phenotypic and genetic characterization of lower LDL cholesterol and increased Type 2 Diabetes risk in the UK Biobank. Diabetes. 2020;69:2194–205.
Kurki MI, Karjalainen J, Palta P, Sipilä TP, Kristiansson K, Donner KM, et al. FinnGen provides genetic insights from a well-phenotyped isolated population. Nature. 2023;613:508–18.
Winkler TW, Grassmann F, Brandl C, Kiel C, Günther F, Strunz T, et al. Genome-wide association meta-analysis for early age-related macular degeneration highlights novel loci and insights for advanced disease. BMC Med Genomics. 2020;13:120.
Emdin CA, Khera AV, Kathiresan S. Mendelian randomization. JAMA. 2017;318:1925–6.
Burgess S, Thompson SG. Avoiding bias from weak instruments in Mendelian randomization studies. Int J Epidemiol. 2011;40:755–64.
Shim H, Chasman DI, Smith JD, Mora S, Ridker PM, Nickerson DA, et al. A multivariate genome-wide association analysis of 10 LDL subfractions, and their response to statin treatment, in 1868 Caucasians. PLoS One. 2015;10:e0120758.
Dai J, Suo L, Xian H, Pan Z, Zhang C. Investigating the impact of Sun/UV protection and ease of skin tanning on the risk of Pseudoexfoliation Glaucoma: A Mendelian randomization study. Invest Ophthalmol Vis Sci. 2023;64:4.
Skrivankova VW, Richmond RC, Woolf BAR, Yarmolinsky J, Davies NM, Swanson SA, et al. Strengthening the reporting of observational studies in epidemiology using Mendelian randomization: the STROBE-MR statement. JAMA. 2021;326:1614–21.
Hemani G, Zheng J, Elsworth B, Wade KH, Haberland V, Baird D, et al. The MR-Base platform supports systematic causal inference across the human phenome. Elife. 2018;7.
Liu Y, Xiao X, Yang Y, Yao R, Yang Q, Zhu Y, et al. The risk of Alzheimer’s disease and cognitive impairment characteristics in eight mental disorders: A UK Biobank observational study and Mendelian randomization analysis. Alzheimer's Dement. 2024;20:4841–53.
Gao N, Ni M, Song J, Kong M, Wei D, Dong A. Causal relationship between tea intake and cardiovascular diseases: A Mendelian randomization study. Front Nutr. 2022;9:938201.
Tin A, Köttgen A. Mendelian randomization analysis as a tool to gain insights into causes of diseases: a primer. J Am Soc Nephrol. 2021;32:2400–7.
Gao Y, Fan Z-R, Shi F-Y. Hypothyroidism and rheumatoid arthritis: a two-sample Mendelian randomization study. Front Endocrinol. 2023;14:1179656.
Thompson JR, Minelli C, Del Greco MF, Mendelian randomization using public data from Genetic Consortia. Int J Biostat. 2016;12.
Warner TD, Mitchell JA. Cyclooxygenase-3 (COX-3): filling in the gaps toward a COX continuum?. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA. 2002;99:13371–3.
Ferhatbegović L, Mršić D, Kušljugić S, Pojskić B. LDL-C: The only causal risk factor for ASCVD. Why is it still overlooked and underestimated?. Curr Atheroscler Rep. 2022;24:635–42.
Al Rayyes O, Ahrén B, Florén CH. Enhancement of low density lipoprotein catabolism by non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs in cultured HepG2 cells. Eur J Pharm. 1999;372:311–8.
Schoonjans K, Martin G, Staels B, Auwerx J. Peroxisome proliferator-activated receptors, orphans with ligands and functions. Curr Opin Lipido. 1997;8:159–66.
Margrain TH, Boulton M, Marshall J, Sliney DH. Do blue light filters confer protection against age-related macular degeneration?. Prog Retin Eye Res. 2004;23:523–31.
Tserentsoodol N, Sztein J, Campos M, Gordiyenko NV, Fariss RN, Lee JW, et al. Uptake of cholesterol by the retina occurs primarily via a low density lipoprotein receptor-mediated process. Mol Vis. 2006;12:1306–18.
Yin L, Shi Y, Liu X, Zhang H, Gong Y, Gu Q, et al. A rat model for studying the biological effects of circulating LDL in the choriocapillaris-BrM-RPE complex. Am J Pathol. 2012;180:541–9.
Muscella A, Stefàno E, Marsigliante S. The effects of exercise training on lipid metabolism and coronary heart disease. Am J Physiol Heart Circ Physiol. 2020;319:H76–H88.
Park K-H, Kim J-Y, Choi I, Kim J-R, Cho K-H. ω-6 (18:2) and ω-3 (18:3) fatty acids in reconstituted high-density lipoproteins show different functionality of anti-atherosclerotic properties and embryo toxicity. J Nutr Biochem. 2015;26:1613–21.
Baek J-H, Lim D, Park KH, Chae J-B, Jang H, Lee J, et al. Quantitative proteomic analysis of aqueous humor from patients with drusen and reticular pseudodrusen in age-related macular degeneration. BMC Ophthalmol. 2018;18:289.
Johnson LV, Forest DL, Banna CD, Radeke CM, Maloney MA, Hu J, et al. Cell culture model that mimics drusen formation and triggers complement activation associated with age-related macular degeneration. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA. 2011;108:18277–82.
Crabb JW, Miyagi M, Gu X, Shadrach K, West KA, Sakaguchi H, et al. Drusen proteome analysis: an approach to the etiology of age-related macular degeneration. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA. 2002;99:14682–7.
Nordestgaard LT, Tybjærg-Hansen A, Frikke-Schmidt R, Nordestgaard BG. Elevated Apolipoprotein A1 and HDL Cholesterol Associated with Age-related Macular Degeneration: 2 Population Cohorts. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. 2021;106:e2749–e58.
Lee Y, Seo JH. The potential causal association of Apolipoprotein A and B and age-related macular degeneration: A Mendelian Randomisation Study. Biomedicines. 2024;12.
G HB, Rao VS, Kakkar VV. Friend turns foe: transformation of anti-inflammatory HDL to Proinflammatory HDL during acute-phase response. Cholesterol. 2011;2011:274629.
Eren E, Yilmaz N, Aydin O. High density Lipoprotein and its Dysfunction. Open Biochem J. 2012;6:78–93.
Pikuleva IA, Curcio CA. Cholesterol in the retina: the best is yet to come. Prog Retin Eye Res. 2014;41:64–89.
Datta S, Cano M, Ebrahimi K, Wang L, Handa JT. The impact of oxidative stress and inflammation on RPE degeneration in non-neovascular AMD. Prog Retin Eye Res. 2017;60:201–18.
Jiang X, Liu X, Liu X, Wu X, Jose PA, Liu M, et al. Low-dose Aspirin treatment attenuates male rat salt-sensitive hypertension via Platelet Cyclooxygenase 1 and Complement Cascade Pathway. J Am Heart Assoc. 2020;9:e013470.
Nordestgaard BG, Langsted A. Lipoprotein(a) and cardiovascular disease. Lancet. 2024;404:1255–64.
Yang LG, March ZM, Stephenson RA, Narayan PS. Apolipoprotein E in lipid metabolism and neurodegenerative disease. Trends Endocrinol Metab. 2023;34:430–45.
Hodkinson A, Tsimpida D, Kontopantelis E, Rutter MK, Mamas MA, Panagioti M. Comparative effectiveness of statins on non-high density lipoprotein cholesterol in people with diabetes and at risk of cardiovascular disease: systematic review and network meta-analysis. BMJ. 2022;376:e067731.
Acknowledgements
We thank all participants and investigators from the UK Biobank, FinnGen study, and IEU GWAS database.
Funding
This work was supported by grants from the National Key R&D Program of China (2023YFC2506100), the National Natural Science Foundation of China (82220108016 and U25A6002), the Guangzhou Basic Research Program (2024A03J0263 and 2024A03J0172), the Program for Supporting and Cultivating Outstanding Scientific and Technological Talents, Zhongshan Ophthalmic Center, Sun Yat-sen University (GCCRC-2026006), and the GBRCE for Major Blinding Eye Diseases Prevention and Treatment, and Research Funds of the State Key Laboratory of Ophthalmology (20250ZLH08).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Contributions
Zijun Zhen, Rongyuan Chen, and Xuri Li were responsible for designing the study. Juanhua Zhu, Chenggong Zeng, and Rongsui Tang were responsible for collecting and analysing data. Weiwei Lu and Shasha Wang were responsible for interpreting the results. Juanhua Zhu and Chenggong Zeng were responsible for writing the manuscript. Lijuan Huang and Zhen Xiong were responsible for providing critical revisions that are important for the intellectual content. Aijun Deng was responsible for providing feedback on the report. Zijun Zhen, Rongyuan Chen, and Xuri Li were responsible for approving the final version of the manuscript.
Corresponding authors
Ethics declarations
Competing interests
The authors declare no competing interests.
Additional information
Publisher’s note Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Supplementary information
Rights and permissions
Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.
About this article
Cite this article
Zhu, J., Zeng, C., Tang, R. et al. Causal relationship between aspirin use and age-related macular degeneration. Eye (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41433-026-04574-2
Received:
Revised:
Accepted:
Published:
Version of record:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41433-026-04574-2


