Table 3 One-way sensitivity analysis results
Parameter (base case value) | Variation | Genome sequencing for cancer | Genome sequencing for rare diseases | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cost | % Change vs. base case | Cost | % Change vs. base case | ||
Base case analysis | - | £6840.85 | - | £7050.11 | - |
Annual sample throughput (399 samples) | 100 | £9499.91 | 39% | £10,804.71 | 53% |
200 | £7726.24 | 13% | £8300.28 | 18% | |
500 | £6662.04 | −3% | £6797.63 | −4% | |
750 | £6425.56 | −6% | £6463.70 | −8% | |
1000 | £6307.31 | −8% | £6296.74 | −11% | |
2000 | £6129.95 | −10% | £6046.30 | −14% | |
National Insurance/superannuation multiplier (20%)a | 10% | £6752.86 | −1% | £6971.89 | −1% |
30% | £6928.84 | 1% | £7128.33 | 1% | |
Weeks worked per year (44)b | 40 | £6946.44 | 2% | £7143.97 | 1% |
50 | £6714.15 | −2% | £6937.47 | −2% | |
Hours worked per week (37.5)b | 30 | £7104.82 | 4% | £7284.77 | 3% |
45 | £6664.87 | −3% | £6893.67 | −2% | |
Overheads (20%) | 10% | £6270.78 | −8% | £6462.60 | −8% |
30% | £7410.92 | 8% | £7637.62 | 8% | |
Discount rate (3.5%) | 1.5% | £6799.67 | −1% | £6988.30 | −1% |
5.0% | £6873.08 | 0% | £7098.47 | 1% | |
VAT (excluded) | Included | £7901.69 | 16% | £8215.43 | 17% |
BAM files archived? (no) | Yes | £6962.87 | 2% | £7172.29 | 2% |
Years of data archiving (5) | 3 | £6840.39 | 0% | £7049.71 | 0% |
10 | £6842.00 | 0% | £7051.09 | 0% | |
Research bioinformatics | Excluded | £6679.23 | −2% | Based | - |
Included | Basec | - | N/A | - | |
Standard case | N/A | - | £7593.67 | 8% | |
Intermediate case | N/A | - | £7582.82 | 8% | |
PE kit cost (£2597) | 50% | £6001.71 | −12% | £6210.96 | −12% |
150% | £7680.00 | 12% | £7889.25 | 12% | |
SBS kit cost (£4207) | 50% | £5481.61 | −20% | £5690.86 | −19% |
150% | £8200.10 | 20% | £8409.35 | 19% | |
Sequencing machine cost (£474,373) | 50% | £6669.46 | −3% | £6793.01 | −4% |
150% | £7012.25 | 3% | £7307.20 | 4% | |
Family size for rare disease cases (3) | 2.4 | N/A | - | £5650.39 | −20% |
2.6 | N/A | - | £6116.96 | −13% | |
2.8 | N/A | - | £6583.53 | −7% | |
Error rate—library processing (5%) | 2.5% | £6834.66 | 0% | £7041.41 | 0% |
7.5% | £6847.05 | 0% | £7059.10 | 0% | |
Error rate—clustering (15%) | 5% | £6838.92 | 0% | £7048.18 | 0% |
25% | £6842.78 | 0% | £7052.04 | 0% | |
Error rate for the sequencing by synthesis and paired end kits (7.7%) | 4% | £6690.20 | −2% | £6899.45 | −2% |
12% | £7016.82 | 3% | £7226.08 | 2% | |
Error rate—sequencing (25%) | 15% | £6835.57 | 0% | £7044.83 | 0% |
35% | £6845.95 | 0% | £7055.20 | 0% | |