Abstract
Home blood pressure (HBP) monitoring is a better prognostic predictor than clinical BP monitoring. However, the suggested number of HBP measurements in each occasion varies across guidelines. The study aimed to identify which HBP measurements in each occasion are more closely associated with new cardiovascular events in patients with type 2 diabetes. This retrospective cohort study included 1058 patients with type 2 diabetes without a history of macrovascular complications. HBP was measured three times each morning and evening for 14 days, and the average value over the 14 days was calculated. During a median follow-up of 7.0 years, 117 patients (11.1%) had cardiovascular events. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to examine the association between the average morning home systolic BP (MHSBP) for the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd measurements and cardiovascular events. The adjusted hazard ratios (HR) (95% confidence interval) for the onset of cardiovascular events in the 2nd and 3rd mean MHSBP were 1.129 (1.008–1.265) and 1.135 (1.010–1.275), respectively. The area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC) for the 2nd, 1st/2nd, 2nd/3rd, and 1st/2nd/3rd mean MHSBP was significantly greater than that of the 1st mean MHSBP (p = 0.040, p = 0.014, p = 0.020, and p = 0.021, respectively). No significant difference was observed between the AUC of the 2nd/3rd and 1st/2nd/3rd mean MHSBP and that of the 1st/2nd mean MHSBP. We recommend that HBP measurements be taken just twice per occasion to predict cardiovascular events in patients with type 2 diabetes.

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Change history
13 November 2025
“The original online version of this article was revised: In the sentences beginning ‘This retrospective cohort study...’ and ‘This study shows that,...’ in this article, the value ‘1082’ have been updated to ‘1058’.”.
19 November 2025
A Correction to this paper has been published: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41440-025-02469-5
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Acknowledgements
The authors express their gratitude to Dr. Yoshihiro Kitagawa and Dr. Shinichi Mogami of Osaka General Hospital, West Japan Railway Company, as well as Dr. Atsushi Omoto and Dr. Wataru Fukuda of Kyoto First Red Cross Hospital, for their support with data collection. We also extend our thanks to Terumi Kaneko, Naoko Higo, and Machiko Hasegawa of Kyoto Prefectural University of Medicine for their guidance to patients on HBP measurement and to Sayoko Tanaka, also from Kyoto Prefectural University of Medicine, for her administrative assistance. We extend our gratitude to Editage (www.editage.com) for their invaluable assistance in editing the English language content.
Funding
Emi Ushigome received grant support from the Japanese Study Group for Physiology and Management of Blood Pressure and the Astellas Foundation for Research on Metabolic Disorders (Grant number: 4024).
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“The original online version of this article was revised: In the sentences beginning ‘This retrospective cohort study...’ and ‘This study shows that,...’ in this article, the value ‘1082’ have been updated to ‘1058’.”.
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Sumi, M., Ushigome, E., Kitagawa, N. et al. Second home blood pressure measurements per occasion predict incident cardiovascular events in type 2 diabetes: KAMOGAWA-HBP study. Hypertens Res 48, 950–958 (2025). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41440-024-02049-z
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41440-024-02049-z
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