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Influenza vaccination after advanced acute kidney injury: effects on mortality, cardiovascular events, and pneumonia—a target trial emulation

Abstract

Patients in the post-advanced acute kidney injury (post-advanced AKI) period are vulnerable to cardiovascular complications, infection, and mortality. Whether seasonal influenza vaccination mitigates these risks after advanced AKI remains unknown. To address this gap, we emulated a target trial using the global TriNetX electronic health record network. The hypothetical trial compared influenza vaccination versus no vaccination among adults in the post-advanced AKI period following dialysis-requiring AKI or decline in eGFR to <15 ml/min/1.73 m². After propensity score matching, vaccinated and unvaccinated cohorts were followed for one year. Primary outcomes were all-cause mortality, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), and pneumonia. Secondary outcomes included, major adverse kidney events (MAKE), re-dialysis, and heart failure. Among 981,700 patients with post-advanced AKI, only 1.3% (n = 12,659) received influenza vaccination. Our analysis revealed that vaccination was associated with lower risks of all-cause mortality (aHR 0.73), MACE (aHR 0.54), pneumonia (aHR 0.51), MAKE (aHR 0.70), re-dialysis (aHR 0.57; all p < 0.001), and heart failure (aHR 0.62) after a mean follow-up of 11.7 months. Furthermore, a dose-response relationship was observed with repeated annual vaccination, and interrupted time-series analysis showed a 15.4-case monthly reduction in pneumonia per 1000 patients after vaccination. In this target trial emulation, influenza vaccination during the post-advanced AKI period was associated with substantially lower one-year risks of mortality, cardiovascular events, and pneumonia. These findings support integrating influenza vaccination into routine post-advanced AKI care to reduce clinical complications.

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Acknowledgements

Acknowledgments to the Board of Directors of the Affiliated Hospital of Chi-Mei Hospital for granting approval for the use of data.

Funding

This research was funded by Taiwan National Science Council (grants NSC 101-2314-B-002-132-MY3, NSC100-2314-B-002-119, NSC 101-2314-B-002-085-MY3, MOST 104-2314-B-002 -125 -MY3) and National Taiwan University Hospital (NTUH 100-N1776, 101-M1953, 102-S2097).

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Correspondence to Vin-Cent Wu.

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Liao, HW., Cheng, CY., Wang, CA. et al. Influenza vaccination after advanced acute kidney injury: effects on mortality, cardiovascular events, and pneumonia—a target trial emulation. Hypertens Res (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41440-026-02674-w

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