Table 1 Updated results from major randomized controlled trials of selective estrogen receptor modulators (SERMs) and aromatase inhibitors (AIs) for breast cancer preventive therapy

From: How do we increase uptake of tamoxifen and other anti-estrogens for breast cancer prevention?

Trial

No. of participants

Study population

Agents

Breast cancer risk reduction RR or HR (95% CI)

Toxicities compared to controls (Rate per 1000)

BCPT, 2005 (ref. 5)

13,388

Age ≥ 35 years, 5-yr Gail risk score > 1.66% if age 35-59 years or age ≥ 60 years or LCIS

Tamoxifen 20 mg/day ×  5 years vs. placebo

0.57 (0.46–0.70)

Endometrial cancer (2.24 vs. 0.68)

    

Stroke (1.75 vs. 1.23)

    

Thromboembolism (1.90 vs. 1.16)

IBIS-I, 2014 (ref. 6)

7154

Age 35–70 years, tenfold risk if age 35–39 years or fourfold risk if age 40–44 years or twofold risk if age 45–70 years

Tamoxifen 20 mg/day × 5 years vs. placebo

0.71 (0.60–0.83)

Endometrial cancer (8.10 vs. 5.59)

    

Stroke (8.38 vs. 7.83)

    

Thromboembolism (13.97 vs. 8.11)

STAR, 2015 (refs 7, 100)

19,490

Age ≥ 35 years, postmenopausal, 5-year Gail risk score > 1.66%

Raloxifene 60 mg/day vs. Tamoxifen 20 mg/day × 5 years

1.19 (1.04–1.37)*

Endometrial cancer (1.23 vs. 2.25)

    

Thromboembolism (2.47 vs. 3.30)

    

Cataracts (11.69 vs. 14.58)

MAP.3, 2011 (ref. 8)

4560

Age ≥ 35 years, postmenopausal, 5-year Gail risk score > 1.66% if age 35–59 years or age ≥ 60 years or AH, LCIS, DCIS with mastectomy

Exemestane 25 mg/day × 5 years vs. placebo

0.35 (0.18–0.70)

Fractures (66.51 vs. 63.60)

    

Cardiovascular events (47.32 vs. 49.37)

IBIS-II, 2014 (ref. 9)

3864

Age 40–70 years, postmenopausal, fourfold risk if age 40–44 years or twofold risk if age 45–59 years or 1.5-fold risk if age 60–70

Anastrozole 1 mg/day × 5 years vs. placebo

0.47 (0.32–0.68)

Fractures (85.42 vs. 76.65)

    

Cardiovascular events (66.67 vs. 48.87)

  1. Adapted from Crew ASCO Educational Book, 2015 with permission from the American Society of Clinical Oncology
  2. AH atypical hyperplasia, BCPT Breast Cancer Prevention Trial, CI confidence interval, DCIS ductal carcinoma in situ, HR hazard ratio, IBIS International Breast cancer Intervention Study, LCIS lobular carcinoma in situ, MAP mammary prevention, RR relative risk, STAR Study of Tamoxifen and Raloxifene
  3. *Comparing raloxifene to tamoxifen