Table 2 Evolving evidence on incidence of Pfizer vaccine-associated myocarditis by age and sex in Australia in October–December 2021.

From: A Bayesian network analysis quantifying risks versus benefits of the Pfizer COVID-19 vaccine in Australia

 

Date

Sex

Age 12–19 years

Age 20–29 years

Age 30–39 years

Age 40–49 years

Age 50–59 years

Age 60–69 years

Age ≥70 years

Estimated incidence of myocarditis per million 2nd dosesa

14/10/21

Male

75

22

6

10

3

0

0

 

Female

14

12

3

10

3

0

0

9/12/21

Male

103

59

15

11

1

0

0

 

Female

25

19

6

9

4

0

0

Estimated deaths per million 2nd doses based on 0.34% CFRb

14/10/21

Male

0.128

0.037

0.01

0.017

0.005

0

0

 

Female

0.024

0.02

0.005

0.017

0.005

0

0

9/12/21

Male

0.175

0.1

0.026

0.019

0.002

0

0

 

Female

0.043

0.032

0.01

0.015

0.007

0

0

Difference in estimated cases per million 2nd doses compared to 14/10/21

9/12/21

Male

28

37

9

1

2

0

0

 

Female

11

7

3

1

1

0

0

Difference in estimated deaths per million 2nd doses compared to 14/10/21

9/12/21

Male

0.048

0.063

0.015

0.002

0.003

0

0

 

Female

0.019

0.012

0.005

0.002

0.002

0

0

  1. aIncidence of myocarditis in Australia reported by Therapeutic Goods Administration (TGA)31.
  2. bCFR: Case fatality rate for all ages combined, calculated to be 0.17%, from ref. 33.