Extended Data Fig. 3: EEP relative SST response to global warming calculated in increasing length of periods.

Shown is for response averaged over the EEP (2.5°S–2.5°N, 180°W–100°W) for 23 CMIP6 models under historical and the SSP585 scenario and in observations (y-axis, units: K K⁻¹). The x-axis indicates the ending year of a period for calculation of the response, all starting from 1870; for example, when ending in 1949 (the first year shown), the response is calculated over the period from 1870–1949, and when ending in 2050 the response is calculated over the period from 1870–2050.