Extended Data Fig. 10: Drivers of uncertainties in future frequency of compound hot-dry events (fHD) and mean precipitation trends in a world 3 ∘C warmer than pre-industrial conditions.
From: Precipitation trends determine future occurrences of compound hot–dry events
a,b, As in Fig. 2b and Extended Data Figure 7c, respectively, but in a world 3 ∘C warmer than pre-industrial conditions. That is, uncertainty due to model-to-model differences (UMD) relative to the sum of UIV (uncertainty due to internal climate variability) and UMD for future fHD in a and mean precipitation trends in b. UMD is larger than UIV over 67% and 77% of landmasses for future fHD and mean precipitation trends, respectively.
