Correction to: Nature Climate Change https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-022-01302-y, published online 9 March 2022.

In the version of this article initially published, Zengkai Zhang’s first name was misspelled as Zhengkai. Also, in Eqs. (7)–(12), there was an additional “ln” and in Eq. (18), an additional “log”; these have been removed. The changes have been made to the HTML and PDF versions of the article.