Extended Data Table 1 Maximum growth rate of CCS capacity in the stable growth phase in the IPCC AR6 pathways compared to observed maximum growth of reference cases

From: Feasible deployment of carbon capture and storage and the requirements of climate targets

  1. TMax - the year when maximum growth is achieved; G - maximum annual capacity additions of CCS; G2022 - maximum growth rate of CCS normalised to the maximum market size in 2022; GTMax - maximum growth rate of CCS normalised to the maximum market size at TMax. For target cases10,32, values show the median and the IQR (in brackets) of average parameters of Gompertz and logistic fits. For reference cases (Table 1), we report the global GTMax as well as the highest observations of GTMax in regional and national markets (Methods) - values show average parameters of Gompertz and logistic fits unless otherwise specified. For reference cases where the maximum growth has not yet been achieved (that is TMax is not in the past) or there is insufficient data, we calculate the maximum growth rate over three years (R3): 2017-2020 for Solar Global; 2005-2008 for FGD Global; 2018-2021 for the rest (Methods). Interquartile ranges of GTMax observations in all national markets for each reference case are shown in Extended Data Fig. 3. FGD - flue gas desulfurisation. *TMax of logistic fit55; **FGD is used as a reference case for the CO2 capture component of CCS.
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