Table 1 Projected GMSLR commitments from 2020, 2030, 2050, 2070 and 2090 cumulative GHG emissions based on the SSP–RCP scenarios

Scenario		2300 GMSLR commitments from cumulative GHG emissions until
Scenario		2020	2030	2050	2070	2090
SSP1-1.9	Median 66% range 90% range	0.29 0.20–0.41 0.14–0.52	0.36 0.24–0.50 0.19–0.64	0.42 0.29–0.60 0.22–0.80	0.44 0.30–0.63 0.24–0.84	0.44 0.30–0.63 0.24–0.85
SSP1-2.6	Median 66% range 90% range	0.29 0.20–0.41 0.14–0.52	0.37 0.25–0.51 0.19–0.65	0.49 0.34–0.71 0.27–0.96	0.56 0.39–0.85 0.30–1.22	0.58 0.40–0.89 0.31–1.29
SSP2-4.5	Median 66% range 90% range	0.29 0.20–0.41 0.14–0.52	0.37 0.25–0.52 0.19–0.67	0.58 0.41–0.88 0.31–1.25	0.84 0.57–1.38 0.44–1.95	1.08 0.69–1.77 0.54–2.49
SSP3-7.0	Median 66% range 90% range	0.29 0.20–0.41 0.14–0.52	0.38 0.26–0.54 0.20–0.69	0.67 0.47–1.06 0.36–1.54	1.20 0.77–1.93 0.61–2.72	1.93 1.24–3.18 0.96–4.44
SSP5-8.5	Median 66% range 90% range	0.29 0.20–0.42 0.14–0.52	0.39 0.26–0.55 0.20–0.71	0.76 0.52–1.23 0.40–1.79	1.62 1.01–2.68 0.78–3.76	3.02 1.87–4.98 1.47–7.16

GMSLR projections are based on the MAGICC sea-level model, displaying medians, 66% (17th to 83 percentile) and 90% (5th to 95th percentile) model ranges in metres relative to 1995–2014.

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