Table 1 Overview of model typologies

From: Identifying energy model fingerprints in mitigation scenarios

 

Responsiveness

Mitigation strategies

Energy supply

Electrification

Costs

 

Carbon tax sensitivity

Scenario sensitivity

Reduction CI/EI

Carbon capture

Non-CO2 reduction compared to CO2

Fossils/renewables/other

Low/medium/high

Cheap/medium/expensive

 

R1

R4–5

M1–2

M3

M4

Es1–7

Ed1–3

C1 inverted

REMIND

IT-GE

High

(+1.8σ)

High

(+1.3σ)

CI reduction

(+1.2σ)

Medium

(0.0σ)

Low

(1.2σ)

Renewables

(+0.7σ)

High

(+0.9σ)

Cheap

(−0.6σ)

Euro-Calliope

IT

Medium

(+0.5σ)

High

(+1.2σ)

CI reduction

(+0.5σ)

Renewables

(+1.3σ)

(−)

IMAGE

RD-PE

Medium

(+0.5σ)

Medium

(+0.5σ)

CI reduction

(+0.5σ)

High

(+1.1σ)

Low

(1.1σ)

Fossils

(+0.7σ)

Medium

(−0.5σ)

Medium

(0.0σ)

PRIMES

IT-PE

Medium

(+0.1σ)

Medium

(−0.3σ)

EI reduction

(+0.4σ)

Medium

(−0.4σ)

High

(+1.0σ)

Renewables

(+0.1σ)

Medium

(0.0σ)

PROMETHEUS

RD-PE

Medium

(−0.3σ)

Medium

(0.0σ)

EI reduction

(+0.7σ)

Low

(−0.9σ)

Other

(+1.9σ)

Medium

(0.0σ)

WITCH

IT-GE

Medium

(−0.4σ)

Medium

(+0.4σ)

EI reduction

(+2.1σ)

High

(+1.1σ)

Medium

(0.0σ)

Fossils

(+1.0σ)

High

(+0.7σ)

Expensive

(+0.6σ)

MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM

IT-GE

Medium

(−0.5σ)

Medium

(+0.2σ)

EI reduction

(−0.7σ)

High

(+1.1σ)

Medium

(+0.1σ)

Fossils

(+0.5σ)

Medium

(−0.4σ)

Medium

(0.0σ)

TIAM-ECN

IT-PE

Low

(1.6σ)

Medium

(−0.4σ)

EI reduction

(1.7σ)

Medium

(−0.3σ)

High

(+1.8σ)

Fossil

(+1.4σ)

Low

(−0.9σ)

Expensive

(+2.8σ)

  1. The columns refer to individual or combined diagnostic indicators and the cells below it show how many standard deviations the model median differs from the ensemble median (Methods). Missing values are denoted with dashes. ‘Medium’ implies a deviation within ±0.5σ. ‘High’ and ‘Low’ imply larger positive and negative deviations, respectively. Deviations of more than ±1σ are emphasized in bold. Abbreviations in the first column: IT (inter-temporal), GE (general equilibrium), PE (partial equilibrium) and RD (recursive dynamics). For carbon and energy intensity (CI and EI) and in the column on energy supply, only the highest deviation is indicated. An extended version of this table with values for each diagnostic indicator can be found in Supplementary Information B.1.