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Energy transition

How central banks address climate and transition risks

Central bank management of climate risks is associated with climate politics, as opposed to a country’s economic exposure to transition risk, including stranded asset and clean energy investment risk. Central banks are not entirely autonomous actors that correct for the lack of national decarbonization policy—they rather complement existing national policies that aim to shift the economy from fossil fuels to clean energy.

Recommendations for policy

  • Central banks vary substantially in the extent to which they re-risk stranded asset and physical climate risks and de-risk clean energy investments.

  • Central bank actions on climate risks are positively associated with their country’s climate policy stringency and public concern with climate change and less with its underlying economic risks.

  • Despite their autonomy, central banks do not substitute for the lack of national climate policy but complement existing national policies promoting the clean energy transition.

  • The political nature of central bank actions to manage transition and physical risks raises concerns about unmanaged risks in the global economy, specifically stranded asset risks.

  • A central bank climate index could increase transparency of the risk mitigation gap; international institutions governing central banks could set standards for climate and transition risk management.

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Fig. 1: Re-risking and de-risking scores by country.

Further reading

  • DiLeo, M., Rudebusch, G. D. & van’t Klooster, J. Why the Fed and ECB Parted Ways on Climate Change: The Politics of Divergence in the Global Central Banking Community Hutchins Center Working Paper #88 (Brookings Institution, 2023). This working paper explores the divergence in climate-related norms between the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank, shedding light on the interplay between domestic political pressures and international dynamics in shaping central bank policies.

  • Thiemann, M., Büttner, T. & Kessler, O. Beyond market neutrality? Central banks and the problem of climate change. Finance Soc. 9, 14–34 (2023). This study details how central banks have shifted their discourse and practices on climate change over time.

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  • Svartzman, R., Bolton, P., Despres, M., Pereira Da Silva, L. A. & Samama, F. Central banks, financial stability and policy coordination in the age of climate uncertainty: a three-layered analytical and operational framework. Clim. Policy 21, 563–580 (2021). This article presents a framework for central banks to address the systemic financial risks posed by climate change, emphasizing the need for new risk models and integrated policy coordination.

    Article  Google Scholar 

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Acknowledgements

J.M. acknowledges funding from the Climate Program of the Berkeley Economy and Society Initiative and the USDA National Institute of Food and Agriculture, Hatch Project Accession Number 1020688.

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Correspondence to Esther Shears or Jonas Meckling.

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The authors declare no competing interests.

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Shears, E., Meckling, J. & Finnegan, J.J. How central banks address climate and transition risks. Nat Energy 10, 431–432 (2025). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-025-01725-9

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