Extended Data Fig. 4: Contribution of Δ(ΔTWS) to Δ(P – ET) from the DDM reconstruction (Fig. 1a) and associated uncertainty.
From: Observed changes in dry-season water availability attributed to human-induced climate change

a, Δ(ΔTWS) is the difference in average ΔTWS corresponding to the month with minimum P – ET between years in the periods 1985–2014 and 1902–1950. Note that based on the water balance Δ(P – ET) = Δ(ΔTWS) + ΔR. The ΔTWS reconstruction used in the article corresponds to the mean of 100 stochastic realizations, whereas no stochastic realizations of the R reconstruction are available. b, Fraction of stochastic realizations of Δ(ΔTWS) that result in positive Δ(P – ET) at each grid cell. Grey lines indicate tropical boundaries at 23.5°S and 23.5°N. Antarctica, Greenland and desert regions with annual P below 100 mm are masked in grey.