Table 1 Pre-industrial and PU climate simulations for a range of CO2 (ppm) and solar luminosities (Sol), both Modern and in 250 Myr (Sol + 2.5%); see Table 2 in Methods for details

From: Climate extremes likely to drive land mammal extinction during next supercontinent assembly

Habitability metrics

Scenario

Carbon dioxide concentration (ppm)

Habitable land (million km²)

Habitable land (million km²)

Percentage of total habitable land

Desert percentage of planet

Land and ocean (°C)

Land only (°C)

ΔTeq (°C)

Pre-industrial

280

147.9

97.5

66%

30%

11.73

5.32

3.7a

PU, 280 ppm, Sol

280

145.5

78.8

54%

42%

15.28

19.22

2.4

PU, 560 ppm, Sol

560

145.5

39.8

27%

40%

19.28

23.97

4.0

PU, 1,120 ppm, Sol

1,120

145.5

24.9

17%

40%

22.59

28.64

3.3

PU, 280 ppm, Sol + 2.5%

280

145.5

36.0

25%

44%

19.89

24.53

2.3

PU, 560 ppm, Sol + 2.5%

560

145.5

23.8

16%

47%

23.36

29.28

3.5

PU, 1,120 ppm, Sol + 2.5%

1,120

145.5

12.0

8%

49%

27.30

35.12

3.9

PU, 560 ppm, Sol + 2.5%, 2 × Orog

560

145.5

27.3

19%

43%

21.75

24.78

1.9

  1. Total land area (km2) and habitable land area (km2 and %; see Methods for details) for each experiment are shown for habitability metrics. The percentage of land area that is desertified is also indicated. Grid-weighted global mean annual and land-only mean annual temperatures along with global equilibrium climate sensitivity (ΔTeq) are highlighted. ‘Orog’ signifies orography.
  2. aFrom ref. 62.