Extended Data Fig. 3: Results of probabilistic BQART model for the Palaeo-Murat Basin.
From: Late Miocene Euphrates River drained into a partially desiccated eastern Mediterranean

(a), Sediment discharge for all model runs (250,000 runs – light blue) and those that fall within 15% of the calculated value for the Nahr Menashe (56.2 MT/yr; 109,393 runs – dark blue). The latter was used to filter values for water discharge (b), basin area (c), maximum relief (d), and temperature (e). Tornado diagram (f) shows the sensitivity of modelled outputs to variations in inputs, with relief (R) exerting the greatest influence.