Table 1 Mean (and 95% CI) of the number of normal hospitalizations, ICU hospitalizations and symptomatic individuals identified or traced (when applicable) at the peak of the epidemic per 1,000 people. The estimated availability of ICU beds is 0.21 beds per 1,000 people
Scenario | Hospitalization | ICU | Individuals traced | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Unmitigated | 4.57 (4.10–5.03) | 2.56 (2.21–2.91) | - | ||
LIFT | 3.22 (2.80–3.67) | 1.87 (1.55–2.20) | - | ||
No Tracing | 2.70 (2.29–3.12) | 1.58 (1.27–1.88) | - | ||
LET | Detection 30% | Tracing 20% | 0.86 (0.65–1.10) | 0.55 (0.39–0.72) | 0.52 (0.36–0.69) |
Tracing 60% | 0.35 (0.21–0.50) | 0.22 (0.12–0.34) | 0.17 (0.08–0.27) | ||
No Tracing | 2.35 (1.97–2.75) | 1.39 (1.11–1.68) | - | ||
LET | Detection 50% | Tracing 20% | 0.44 (0.28–0.62) | 0.28 (0.16–0.42) | 0.39 (0.23–0.55) |
Tracing 40% | 0.29 (0.18–0.43) | 0.15 (0.08–0.26) | 0.14 (0.05–0.23) | ||
