Extended Data Fig. 2: Preference and prior belief data.
From: A belief systems analysis of fraud beliefs following the 2020 US election
Kernel density plots of: (a) preference strength; (b) prior subjective probability of win by the preferred candidate; and (c) prior fraud belief. (d) Scatterplot for prior fraud belief as a function of prior subjective probability of win by the preferred candidate. Gray area represents 95% confidence interval; each point represents a single participant (with 30% opacity). Color represents the preferred candidate: Rep = Trump (red); Dem = Biden (blue). (e) Fraud belief update as a function of the scenario (loss or win according to the hypothetical map) and the preference strength (categorized into three ordered categories). Points represent single participants, and error bars represent standard error of the mean across participants.
