Extended Data Fig. 4: Update of true vote belief.
From: A belief systems analysis of fraud beliefs following the 2020 US election
Simulations of predicted true vote belief update across the prior belief space for the Bayesian model and the Outcome Desirability model. Outcome Desirability model predictions assume the strength of bias that best fits the data (α = .3) and are shown for the mean preference strength in the sample (u = .95) as well as a lower value (u = .55) for comparison.
