Extended Data Fig. 1: Additional probabilistic climate hindcasts.
From: Equity is more important for the social cost of methane than climate uncertainty
Hindcasts over the model calibration period (1850–2017) using the S-FAIR (blue), S-FUND (purple), S-Hector (red) and S-MAGICC (orange) climate models. a–d, The annual atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration, with different shapes identifying the Law Dome ice core (triangles) and Mauna Loa (circles) calibration data. e–h, Annual ocean carbon flux. i–l, Global ocean heat content. In all panels, yellow shapes represent observations. The solid black centre line depicts the mean response across 100,000 model runs, with coloured regions spanning the 95% predictive credible interval.
