Extended Data Fig. 5: Verification scores for the UK by yearly splits aligned with NWP initialization times. | Nature

Extended Data Fig. 5: Verification scores for the UK by yearly splits aligned with NWP initialization times.

From: Skilful precipitation nowcasting using deep generative models of radar

Extended Data Fig. 5: Verification scores for the UK by yearly splits aligned with NWP initialization times.The alternative text for this image may have been generated using AI.

a, CSI across 20 samples of different models across precipitation thresholds 1 mm h−1 (left), 4 mm h−1, 8 mm h−1 (right). UNet generates a single deterministic prediction. b, CRPS of various models for original predictions (left), average rain rate over a 4 km aggregation (middle), and average rain rate over a 16 km aggregation (right). c, Radially averaged power spectral density for full-frame 2019 predictions for different models. Please note that these results are computed with significantly fewer examples of the UK yearly dataset due to the NWP lead time alignment.

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