Extended Data Table 2 Regression results for the historical effects of different climate variables on sub-national economic growth rates in the period 1979–2019

From: RETRACTED ARTICLE: The economic commitment of climate change

  1. Numbers show the point estimates for the effect of each climate variable and their interaction term on sub-national economic growth rates (in percentage points), having estimated equation (4) with ten lags for each climate variable (that is, each table entry denotes a specific regression coefficient α X,L of the same model as indicated in equation (4)). Standard errors are shown in parentheses and *, ** and *** denote significance at the 5%, 1% and 0.1% levels, respectively, having clustered standard errors by region. Formulas for climate variables and their interaction terms are denoted as in equation (4). Note that an interpretation of the significance of the effects of a given climate variable requires an assessment of both the coefficient of the climate variable itself as well as its interaction term. Extended Data Fig. 1 provides the opportunity for such an interpretation by plotting the estimated marginal effects with confidence intervals. The R2, within-region R2 (the R2 along the temporal dimension), Akaike information criterion (AIC), Bayesian information criterion (BIC) and number of observations are also shown.
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