Table 1 Planetary boundary framework as applied in this paper

From: Exploring pathways for world development within planetary boundaries

Planetary boundary

Planetary boundary indicator

Pressure indicator

Earth system process

Control variablea

Planetary boundary

Upper end of uncertainty zone

Reference

2015 value

Indicator

2015 value

Climate change

Forcing – GHGs (W m−2)

1.9

2.6

0

2.36

GHG emissions

53.3 Gt CO2-eq

Stratospheric O3 depletion

O3 concentration (DU) 60–90° S

276

261

330

280

CFC-12 (Freon) emissions

15–25 Gg yr−1

Atmospheric aerosol loading

Average PM2.5 concentration (μgm3)

10

25

5

21.9

BC emissions

11 Mt BC yr−1

Ocean acidification

pH

8.01

7.94

8.2

8.05

CO2 emissions

38.4 Gt CO2

Biogeochemical flows

 N

N balance (TgNyr1)

62

82

0

131.5

Total fertilizer application

155.3 Tg N yr−1

 P

P balance (TgPyr1)

6.2

11.2

0

12

Freshwater use

Water consumption (km3)

4,000

6,000

0

3,440

Water consumption

3,440 km3

Land system change

Area of forested land (Gha)

45

33

64

39

Agriculture area

48.3 Gha

Change in biosphere integrity

MSA

0.90

0.60

0.95

0.54

Global mean temperature increase, atmospheric N deposition, land use

 
  1. aThe control variables in italics are different from the 2015 planetary boundary indicators1 to allow for IAM analysis and to accommodate data availability limitations. The main text and Methods further explain the choices that were made. The pressure indicators were selected because they form the key driver of the environmental degradation of the control variable, based on the literature. In some cases, such as O3 depletion and atmospheric aerosol loading, an illustrative pressure was selected.
  2. BC, black carbon.