Table 1 Properties of the population of simulated satellite trails as a function of the telescope and number of satellites simulated (Nsat = 10,000–1,000,000)

From: Satellite megaconstellations will threaten space-based astronomy

Observable parameter

Telescope

Nsat

  

10,000

100,000

560,000

1,000,000

Average number of satellite trails detected per exposure

Hubble

\({0.09}_{-0.03}^{+0.02}\)

\({0.44}_{-0.10}^{+0.09}\)

\({2.14}_{-0.47}^{+0.46}\)

\({3.93}_{-0.92}^{+0.98}\)

SPHEREx

\({2.32}_{-0.28}^{+0.27}\)

\({2.95}_{-0.29}^{+0.29}\)

\({5.64}_{-0.27}^{+0.28}\)

\({8.71}_{-0.44}^{+0.44}\)

ARRAKIHS

\({2.64}_{-0.32}^{+0.32}\)

\({13.5}_{-3.7}^{+3.6}\)

\({69}_{-21}^{+21}\)

\({127}_{-41}^{+43}\)

Xuntian

\({2.19}_{-0.23}^{+0.23}\)

\({17.6}_{-2.0}^{+2.0}\)

\({92}_{-10}^{+11}\)

\({165}_{-21}^{+21}\)

Simulated exposures with at least one trail (%)

Hubble

8.0 ± 2.1

19.6 ± 3.2

39.6 ± 4.6

39.7 ± 4.7

SPHEREx

78.0 ± 6.4

87.7 ± 6.9

99.4 ± 7.8

98.3 ± 7.5

ARRAKIHS

69.8 ± 6.1

82.5 ± 6.6

96.2 ± 7.2

95.9 ± 7.5

Xuntian

67.7 ± 6.0

91.4 ± 7.0

97.8 ± 7.3

97.1 ± 7.5

Area affected (arcmin2)

Hubble (× 10−2)

\({0.32}_{-0.09}^{+0.08}\)

\({1.81}_{-0.40}^{+0.38}\)

\({10.2}_{-2.2}^{+2.2}\)

\({18.9}_{-4.4}^{+4.7}\)

SPHEREx

\({105}_{-13}^{+12}\)

\({141}_{-14}^{+14}\)

\({586}_{-28}^{+29}\)

\({934}_{-47}^{+47}\)

ARRAKIHS

\({22.9}_{-2.7}^{+2.8}\)

\({120}_{-33}^{+32}\)

\({610}_{-190}^{+190}\)

\({1,130}_{-360}^{+380}\)

Xuntian

\({1.70}_{-0.20}^{+0.20}\)

\({19.1}_{-2.2}^{+2.1}\)

\({106}_{-12}^{+12}\)

\({193}_{-25}^{+24}\)

FOV affected by trails (%)

Hubble

\({0.03}_{-0.01}^{+0.01}\)

\({0.16}_{-0.04}^{+0.03}\)

\({0.92}_{-0.20}^{+0.20}\)

\({1.69}_{-0.39}^{+0.42}\)

SPHEREx

\({0.07}_{-0.01}^{+0.01}\)

\({0.10}_{-0.01}^{+0.01}\)

\({0.41}_{-0.02}^{+0.02}\)

\({0.66}_{-0.03}^{+0.03}\)

ARRAKIHS

\({0.45}_{-0.06}^{+0.06}\)

\({2.38}_{-0.65}^{+0.63}\)

\({12.2}_{-3.8}^{+3.7}\)

\({22.3}_{-7.2}^{+7.4}\)

Xuntian

\({0.039}_{-0.004}^{+0.004}\)

\({0.44}_{-0.05}^{+0.05}\)

\({2.46}_{-0.28}^{+0.28}\)

\({4.46}_{-0.57}^{+0.56}\)

Surface brightness magnitude (mag arcsec−2)

 

Sun-illuminated

Non- Sun-illuminated

Hubble

\({18.8}_{-1.6}^{+1.4}\)

\({22.3}_{-1.7}^{+1.7}\)

SPHEREx

\({21.1}_{-3.0}^{+1.9}\)

ARRAKIHS

\({18.9}_{-1.3}^{+1.9}\)

\({22.8}_{-1.2}^{+1.5}\)

Xuntian

\({18.1}_{-1.3}^{+1.4}\)

\({21.6}_{-1.6}^{+1.8}\)