Online-only Table 4 Means of the projected impacts on four major crops.
From: A global dataset for the projected impacts of climate change on four major crops
Crop | Region | RCP2.6 | RCP4.5 | RCP6.0 | RCP8.5 | SRES | Others | Sub total | Total | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NF | MC | EC | NF | MC | EC | NF | MC | EC | NF | MC | EC | NF | MC | EC | NF | MC | EC | ||||
Maize | Africa | −6.9 | −6.5 | −7.1 | −15.7 | −13.2 | −20.8 | −1.3 | −1.7 | −6.3 | −9.3 | −14.0 | −26.0 | −0.5 | −14.4 | −7.1 | −2.2 | −6.6 | −17.4 | −11.3 | −8.0 |
Asia | −9.2 | −9.4 | −9.1 | −15.1 | −10.7 | −19.8 | −0.4 | 0.4 | −2.8 | −10.0 | −11.1 | −24.7 | −2.2 | −8.2 | −10.5 | −5.6 | −13.1 | −19.2 | −11.0 | ||
Central and South America | −8.1 | −7.6 | −7.7 | −19.9 | −22.2 | −27.6 | −0.5 | −3.7 | −7.1 | −11.5 | −16.3 | −27.1 | −1.1 | −13.5 | −3.7 | −10.3 | −9.4 | −59.5 | −13.9 | ||
Europe | 0.6 | 2.3 | 3.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | −0.7 | 0.2 | 1.1 | −0.3 | 0.5 | −1.5 | −10.5 | −1.9 | −6.5 | −3.6 | −6.7 | −22.6 | −19.8 | −1.4 | ||
North America | −2.4 | 0.1 | −0.6 | −2.4 | −5.8 | −8.3 | −2.7 | −1.6 | −7.2 | −1.5 | −7.6 | −20.7 | −1.8 | −4.8 | −24.0 | 1.8 | −5.8 | 4.0 | −4.4 | ||
Global | −7.6 | −5.6 | −12.6 | −15.5 | 0.2 | −1.8 | −17.9 | −6.0 | |||||||||||||
Rice | Africa | −1.6 | −1.7 | −2.5 | −2.1 | −0.9 | −0.4 | −1.9 | −1.7 | −4.6 | −1.8 | −8.4 | −6.9 | −7.5 | −3.6 | −3.4 | |||||
Asia | −5.3 | −3.3 | −2.3 | −2.5 | −1.7 | −2.3 | −11.0 | −5.9 | −1.8 | −2.6 | −4.0 | −11.2 | −0.7 | −1.4 | −1.1 | −1.8 | −8.7 | −3.4 | −3.8 | ||
Central and South America | 5.1 | 6.9 | 6.0 | 6.1 | 9.2 | 12.5 | 2.3 | 2.5 | −1.8 | −2.1 | −6.0 | 2.3 | 3.4 | ||||||||
Europe | 8.3 | 0.9 | 9.3 | 9.4 | −0.5 | 7.5 | 8.9 | −2.2 | 5.5 | ||||||||||||
North America | −4.9 | −0.6 | −4.4 | −3.0 | −2.0 | −6.6 | −10.4 | −28.4 | −42.2 | 0.3 | −3.0 | 0.3 | −13.7 | ||||||||
Global | −2.9 | 2.0 | −4.9 | −6.0 | −9.6 | −4.3 | |||||||||||||||
Soybean | Asia | −27.0 | −27.2 | −31.1 | −29.4 | −29.5 | −36.9 | −14.4 | −26.0 | −34.8 | 4.9 | −13.1 | −2.5 | −5.4 | −8.9 | −23.0 | −15.6 | ||||
Central and South America | −36.4 | −34.8 | −39.2 | −22.8 | −6.6 | −13.7 | −40.8 | −15.2 | −18.9 | 4.6 | −13.5 | −9.7 | 4.7 | −60.1 | −17.8 | ||||||
North America | −4.5 | −9.6 | −20.9 | −17.3 | −5.2 | −15.3 | −21.6 | −8.1 | −32.9 | −4.2 | −3.1 | −17.7 | 1.7 | −14.8 | 5.4 | −5.7 | |||||
Global | −3.2 | 9.0 | −5.2 | −6.4 | −10.3 | −3.2 | |||||||||||||||
Wheat | Africa | −37.3 | −35.4 | −30.4 | −38.2 | −23.2 | −22.5 | −20.7 | −15.9 | −15.1 | 0.2 | −10.8 | −5.6 | 0.0 | −10.3 | −19.7 | −6.1 | ||||
Asia | −14.7 | −3.9 | −7.6 | −4.2 | −3.7 | −8.9 | −4.8 | 15.2 | 16.7 | −7.5 | −4.5 | −10.3 | 0.1 | −5.1 | 4.5 | −4.9 | −12.8 | −17.0 | −5.7 | ||
Australasia | −23.6 | −26.0 | −25.4 | −23.0 | −4.3 | −5.4 | −10.9 | −5.2 | −12.7 | 1.3 | −11.3 | −12.9 | −2.4 | 2.1 | −3.4 | −6.8 | |||||
Central and South America | −25.5 | −32.3 | −30.3 | −30.3 | −32.7 | −40.4 | −18.4 | −24.7 | −−39.0 | −0.5 | −9.9 | 0.5 | −3.3 | −−13.3 | −27.8 | −22.3 | |||||
Europe | −10.7 | −8.9 | −7.7 | −9.8 | −7.0 | −5.9 | −3.8 | −1.3 | −0.5 | −0.5 | −7.2 | 2.5 | −0.4 | −6.5 | −4.3 | −5.1 | |||||
North America | −8.9 | −11.4 | −3.2 | −9.4 | 2.8 | 6.5 | 29.7 | −7.1 | 3.3 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 9.4 | −0.3 | 3.2 | 3.2 | ||||
Global | 1.6 | −6.1 | 1.7 | −3.6 | −12.4 | 0.4 | −19.9 | −4.1 | |||||||||||||
Sub total | −6.7 | −5.8 | −5.3 | −8.9 | −6.2 | −8.7 | −1.4 | 1.3 | −1.7 | −6.0 | −7.0 | −13.9 | −1.1 | −7.5 | −4.9 | −0.8 | −5.0 | −7.9 | −6.98 | ||
Total | −5.9 | −7.8 | −0.6 | −9.1 | −5.3 | −5.1 | |||||||||||||||
Adaptation options | |||||||||||||||||||||
No | No | −16.8 | −15.1 | −14.8 | −10.8 | −7.7 | −11.6 | −9.4 | 2.4 | −3.4 | −12.5 | −10.5 | −21.1 | −0.9 | −10.9 | −7.8 | −0.2 | −5.1 | −8.3 | −10.8 | −10.8 |
Yes | Combined | −7.5 | −7.6 | −7.2 | −8.3 | −8.9 | −8.9 | −0.5 | −0.4 | −1.8 | −5.1 | −8.5 | −16.1 | −1.6 | −4.9 | −6.1 | −3.2 | −4.6 | −12.7 | −7.8 | −4.6 |
Cultivar | 21.2 | −2.6 | 25.0 | 4.6 | 3.7 | 6.6 | −7.8 | 14.3 | 5.1 | 7.7 | 6.7 | −4.3 | 3.1 | −4.2 | 6.2 | ||||||
Fertiliser | 6.6 | 6.7 | 8.2 | −3.4 | 17.3 | 0.3 | 1.4 | −4.7 | −2.1 | −10.7 | −18.5 | 9.0 | 1.1 | −0.3 | |||||||
Irrigation | 2.1 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 1.3 | −7.0 | −17.8 | 2.2 | −1.3 | −6.8 | 0.2 | −2.6 | 1.4 | −3.3 | 1.7 | 22.1 | 2.2 | |||||
Planting date | −2.5 | 1.3 | −4.5 | −1.1 | −1.8 | −6.5 | −25.4 | −2.7 | −4.6 | −12.7 | −7.8 | −0.3 | −11.6 | 4.5 | −4.7 | ||||||
Soil organic matter management | 4.1 | 1.5 | −0.6 | 1.7 | |||||||||||||||||
Tillage | −8.4 | −1.5 | −4.9 | ||||||||||||||||||
Others | 17.0 | 17.2 | −5.6 | 7.7 | −1.8 | 18.8 | 26.6 | −7.0 | 10.3 | 2.1 | −1.0 | −2.0 | −0.3 | −12.8 | −5.6 | 1.6 | |||||
CO2 | Without CO2 fertilisation effect | −7.3 | 9.3 | 2.2 | −3.0 | −3.5 | −6.2 | 10.4 | 0.1 | −2.8 | −4.7 | −14.5 | −3.8 | −1.7 | −23.9 | −2.3 | −8.4 | −18.1 | −6.9 | −6.98 | |
With CO2 fertilisation effect | −6.7 | −6.0 | −5.4 | −9.1 | −6.4 | −8.9 | −1.4 | 0.7 | −1.8 | −6.0 | −7.1 | −13.9 | −1.0 | -7.7 | −4.0 | −0.4 | −4.5 | −6.2 | −7.0 | ||
