Table 1 10-folded Cross-Validation at the State Level by all models.
Metrics | Monte Carlo | OLS | Random Forest | XGBoost | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
R2 | Mean | 0.997 | 0.637 | 0.767 | 0.968 |
Std | 0.002 | 0.049 | 0.062 | 0.015 | |
MAE | Mean | 160.674 | 2361.427 | 1388.238 | 393.292 |
Std | 76.998 | 464.407 | 538.869 | 193.885 | |
RMSE | Mean | 362.954 | 4281.455 | 3553.127 | 1317.709 |
Std | 197.033 | 1589.665 | 1779.324 | 722.87 |