Skip to main content

Thank you for visiting nature.com. You are using a browser version with limited support for CSS. To obtain the best experience, we recommend you use a more up to date browser (or turn off compatibility mode in Internet Explorer). In the meantime, to ensure continued support, we are displaying the site without styles and JavaScript.

Advertisement

Scientific Data
  • View all journals
  • Search
  • My Account Login
  • Content Explore content
  • About the journal
  • Publish with us
  • Sign up for alerts
  • RSS feed
  1. nature
  2. scientific data
  3. data descriptors
  4. article
A 500-m Agricultural Drought Impact Dataset in China’s Main Grain Region: Toward Impact-Based Drought Monitoring
Download PDF
Download PDF
  • Data Descriptor
  • Open access
  • Published: 05 February 2026

A 500-m Agricultural Drought Impact Dataset in China’s Main Grain Region: Toward Impact-Based Drought Monitoring

  • Jiali Shi1,2,
  • Yan-Fang Sang1,2,3,
  • Amir AghaKouchak4,5,
  • Sonam Sandeep Dash6 &
  • …
  • Faith Ka Shun Chan  ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0001-6091-65967 

Scientific Data , Article number:  (2026) Cite this article

We are providing an unedited version of this manuscript to give early access to its findings. Before final publication, the manuscript will undergo further editing. Please note there may be errors present which affect the content, and all legal disclaimers apply.

Subjects

  • Climate sciences
  • Hydrology
  • Natural hazards

Abstract

A high-resolution, quantitative dataset of agricultural drought impacts is essential for advancing impact-based drought monitoring and prediction. Yet, such data remain the critical missing piece, representing the major obstacle to developing robust, impact-driven drought assessments. Here, we generated a 500 m-gridded agricultural drought-impacted area dataset in the China’s main grain region (ADIA-CMGR) during 2006–2020. We employ a leaf area index (LAI)-based relative threshold method to extract the areas with three degrees of drought impacts for summer-harvest crops, autumn-harvest crops, and early rice, respectively. The dataset constitutes various information, including drought-covered area, drought-damaged area, and crop failure area. Validation with the text-based qualitative records of agricultural drought-impacted areas shows that ADIA-CMGR offers accurate temporal variability and reasonable spatial distribution. The developed dataset satisfactorily revealed the spatial and inter-annual dynamics of agricultural drought-impacted areas across various crop-growing seasons, providing a solid foundation for managing drought impacts and improving agricultural practices.

Data availability

The complete ADIA-CMGR dataset is stored in the ZENODO repository and is available at https://zenodo.org/records/17940187 under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International license.

Code availability

The MATLAB code used to generate the agricultural drought-impacted area dataset in the China’s main grain region is available to the public at https://github.com/SJL-UCAS/ADAD_generate.

References

  1. Dai, A. Increasing drought under global warming in observations and models. Nat. Clim. Change 3, 52–58 (2013).

    Google Scholar 

  2. Jiang, J. & Zhou, T. Agricultural drought over water-scarce Central Asia aggravated by internal climate variability. Nat. Geosci. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-022-01111-0 (2023).

  3. Hao, Z., Yuan, X., Xia, Y., Hao, F. & Singh, V. P. An Overview of Drought Monitoring and Prediction Systems at Regional and Global Scales. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 98, 1879–1896 (2017).

    Google Scholar 

  4. Wu, B. et al. Regional differences in the performance of drought mitigation measures in 12 major wheat-growing regions of the world. Agric. Water Manag. 273, 107888 (2022).

    Google Scholar 

  5. Lesk, C., Rowhani, P. & Ramankutty, N. Influence of extreme weather disasters on global crop production. Nature 529, 84–87 (2016).

    Google Scholar 

  6. Su, B. et al. Drought losses in China might double between the 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C warming. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. 115, 10600–10605 (2018).

    Google Scholar 

  7. IUCN Position Paper for UNFCCC COP28. https://iucn.org/resources/position-paper/iucn-position-paper-unfccc-cop28 (2023).

  8. Sutanto, S. J., Van Der Weert, M., Wanders, N., Blauhut, V. & Van Lanen, H. A. J. Moving from drought hazard to impact forecasts. Nat. Commun. 10, 4945 (2019).

    Google Scholar 

  9. AghaKouchak, A. et al. Toward impact-based monitoring of drought and its cascading hazards. Nat. Rev. Earth Environ. 4, 582–595 (2023).

    Google Scholar 

  10. Bachmair, S., Svensson, C., Hannaford, J., Barker, L. J. & Stahl, K. A quantitative analysis to objectively appraise drought indicators and model drought impacts. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 20, 2589–2609 (2016).

    Google Scholar 

  11. Bachmair, S., Svensson, C., Prosdocimi, I., Hannaford, J. & Stahl, K. Developing drought impact functions for drought risk management. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 17, 1947–1960 (2017).

    Google Scholar 

  12. Madadgar, S., AghaKouchak, A., Farahmand, A. & Davis, S. J. Probabilistic estimates of drought impacts on agricultural production. Geophys. Res. Lett. 44, 7799–7807 (2017).

    Google Scholar 

  13. Qin, Y. et al. Agricultural risks from changing snowmelt. Nat. Clim. Change 10, 459–465 (2020).

    Google Scholar 

  14. Veettil, A. V. & Mishra, A. K. Quantifying thresholds for advancing impact-based drought assessment using classification and regression tree (CART) models. J. Hydrol. 625, 129966 (2023).

    Google Scholar 

  15. Stahl, K., Blauhut, V., Barker, L. J. & Stagge, J. H. Chapter 12 - Drought impacts. in Hydrological Drought (Second Edition) (eds Tallaksen, L. M. & van Lanen, H. A. J.) 563–594, https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-819082-1.00005-9 (Elsevier, 2024).

  16. Smith, K. H. et al. Local Observers Fill In the Details on Drought Impact Reporter Maps. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 95, 1659–1662 (2014).

    Google Scholar 

  17. Bachmair, S. et al. Drought indicators revisited: the need for a wider consideration of environment and society. WIREs Water 3, 516–536 (2016).

    Google Scholar 

  18. Blauhut, V., Gudmundsson, L. & Stahl, K. Towards pan-European drought risk maps: quantifying the link between drought indices and reported drought impacts. Environ. Res. Lett. 10, 014008 (2015).

    Google Scholar 

  19. Lackstrom, K. et al. The Missing Piece: Drought Impacts Monitoring Report from a Workshop in Tucson, AZ MARCH 5-6, (2013).

  20. Tao, F. et al. Contribution of crop model structure, parameters and climate projections to uncertainty in climate change impact assessments. Glob. Change Biol. 24, 1291–1307 (2018).

    Google Scholar 

  21. Li, Q., Gao, M., Duan, S., Yang, G. & Li, Z.-L. Integrating remote sensing assimilation and SCE-UA to construct a grid-by-grid spatialized crop model can dramatically improve winter wheat yield estimate accuracy. Comput. Electron. Agric. 227, 109594 (2024).

    Google Scholar 

  22. Shi J., Sang Y., Shen Y. & Ren Z. On the methods for impact-based early warning of agricultural drought. Chin. Sci. Bull. https://doi.org/10.1360/TB-2024-1242 (2025).

  23. Darvishzadeh, R. et al. LAI and chlorophyll estimation for a heterogeneous grassland using hyperspectral measurements. ISPRS J. Photogramm. Remote Sens. 63, 409–426 (2008).

    Google Scholar 

  24. Liang, L. et al. Estimation of crop LAI using hyperspectral vegetation indices and a hybrid inversion method. Remote Sens. Environ. 165, 123–134 (2015).

    Google Scholar 

  25. Tian, H. et al. An IPSO-BP neural network for estimating wheat yield using two remotely sensed variables in the Guanzhong Plain, PR China. Comput. Electron. Agric. 169, 105180 (2020).

    Google Scholar 

  26. Shi, J. et al. Development of a leaf area index-based relative threshold method for identifying agricultural drought areas. J. Hydrol. 641, 131846 (2024).

    Google Scholar 

  27. Xue, L. et al. China’s food loss and waste embodies increasing environmental impacts. Nat. Food 2, 519–528 (2021).

    Google Scholar 

  28. The Ministry of Water Resources of the People’s Republic of China. Bulletin of Flood and Drought Disasters in China. (2020).

  29. Bulletin of Flood and Drought Disasters in China. Ministry of Water Resources of the People’s Republic of china http://mwr.gov.cn/sj/tjgb/zgshzhgb/.

  30. Shi, W., Wang, M. & Liu, Y. Crop yield and production responses to climate disasters in China. Sci. Total Environ. 750, 141147 (2021).

    Google Scholar 

  31. Xu, X. & Tang, Q. Spatiotemporal variations in damages to cropland from agrometeorological disasters in mainland China during 1978–2018. Sci. Total Environ. 785, 147247 (2021).

    Google Scholar 

  32. Han, J. et al. Annual paddy rice planting area and cropping intensity datasets and their dynamics in the Asian monsoon region from 2000 to 2020. Agric. Syst. 200, 103437 (2022).

    Google Scholar 

  33. Luo, Y., Zhang, Z., Chen, Y., Li, Z. & Tao, F. ChinaCropPhen1km: a high-resolution crop phenological dataset for three staple crops in China during 2000–2015 based on leaf area index (LAI) products. Earth Syst. Sci. Data 12, 197–214 (2020).

    Google Scholar 

  34. Ranga Myneni, Knyazikhin, Yuri, Taejin Park - Boston University and MODAPS SIPS – NASA MYD15A2H MODIS/Aqua Leaf Area Index/FPAR 8-Day L4 Global 500m SIN Grid. NASA LP DAAC. https://doi.org/10.5067/MODIS/MYD15A2H.006 (2015).

  35. Yang, P. et al. Evaluation of MODIS Land Cover and LAI Products in Cropland of North China Plain Using In Situ Measurements and Landsat TM Images. IEEE Trans. Geosci. Remote Sens. 45, 3087–3097 (2007).

    Google Scholar 

  36. Savitzky, A. & Golay, M. J. E. Smoothing and Differentiation of Data by Simplified Least Squares Procedures. Anal. Chem. 36, 1627–1639 (1964).

    Google Scholar 

  37. Wu, D. Creation of drought index for winter wheat based on effective soil moisture and evapotranspiration on the North China Plain (In Chinese). Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology (2021).

  38. Jiangxi Provincal Bureau of Statistics. Jiangxi Statistical Yearbook. https://tjj.jiangxi.gov.cn/resource/nj/2024CD/zk/indexch.htm (2024).

  39. Hunan Provincal Bureau of Statistics. Hunan Statistical Yearbook. http://222.240.193.190/2024tjnj/zk/indexch.htm (2024).

  40. Shi, J., Yanfang, S., AghaKouchak, A., Chan, F. K. S. & Dash, S. S. A 500-m Agricultural Drought Impact Dataset in China’s Main Grain Region. Zenodo https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17940187 (2025).

  41. Yang, H. et al. A modified soil water deficit index (MSWDI) for agricultural drought monitoring: Case study of Songnen Plain, China. Agric. Water Manag. 194, 125–138 (2017).

    Google Scholar 

  42. Chaturvedi, A. K. et al. Elucidation of stage specific physiological sensitivity of okra to drought stress through leaf gas exchange, spectral indices, growth and yield parameters. Agric. Water Manag. 222, 92–104 (2019).

    Google Scholar 

  43. Wan, W. et al. Drought monitoring of the maize planting areas in Northeast and North China Plain. Agric. Water Manag. 245, 106636 (2021).

    Google Scholar 

  44. Wan, W. et al. Spatiotemporal patterns of maize drought stress and their effects on biomass in the Northeast and North China Plain from 2000 to 2019. Agric. For. Meteorol. 315, 108821 (2022).

    Google Scholar 

  45. Zhang, J., Feng, L. & Yao, F. Improved maize cultivated area estimation over a large scale combining MODIS–EVI time series data and crop phenological information. ISPRS J. Photogramm. Remote Sens. 94, 102–113 (2014).

    Google Scholar 

  46. Liu, Y. & Dai, L. Modelling the impacts of climate change and crop management measures on soybean phenology in China. J. Clean. Prod. 262, 121271 (2020).

    Google Scholar 

  47. Subedi, K. D. & Ma, B. L. Corn crop production: growth, fertilization and yield.

  48. Li, J. & Lei, H. Tracking the spatio-temporal change of planting area of winter wheat-summer maize cropping system in the North China Plain during 2001–2018. Comput. Electron. Agric. 187, 106222 (2021).

    Google Scholar 

  49. Tao, J., Zhang, X., Wu, Q. & Wang, Y. Mapping winter rapeseed in South China using Sentinel-2 data based on a novel separability index. J. Integr. Agric. 22, 1645–1657 (2023).

    Google Scholar 

  50. Pan, Y. et al. Accuracy of agricultural drought indices and analysis of agricultural drought characteristics in China between 2000 and 2019. Agric. Water Manag. 283, 108305 (2023).

    Google Scholar 

  51. Feng, L. National drought and drought relief operations in 2009. China Flood Drought Manag 20, 76–79 (2010).

    Google Scholar 

  52. Ding, J. National drought and drought relief actions in 2006. China Flood Drought Manag. 54–58, https://doi.org/10.16867/j.cnki.cfdm.2007.01.019 (2007).

  53. Zhang, F. Regionalization of agricultural meteorological drought risk and loss evaluation in Sichuan-Chongging area (In Chinese). Ph.D. thesis, Zhejiang University (2013).

  54. Liu, Z. & Zhou, W. Glo3DHydroClimEventSet(v1.0): A global‐scale event set of hydroclimatic extremes detected with the 3D DBSCAN ‐based workflow (1951–2022). Int. J. Climatol. 43, 7722–7744 (2023).

    Google Scholar 

  55. AghaKouchak, A. et al. Status and prospects for drought forecasting: opportunities in artificial intelligence and hybrid physical–statistical forecasting. Philos. Trans. R. Soc. Math. Phys. Eng. Sci. 380, 20210288 (2022).

    Google Scholar 

  56. AghaKouchak, A. et al. Anthropogenic Drought: Definition, Challenges, and Opportunities. Rev. Geophys. 59, e2019RG000683 (2021).

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

This work is financially supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China (grant no. 2022YFC3002804).

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Key Laboratory of Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Processes, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100101, China

    Jiali Shi & Yan-Fang Sang

  2. University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 101407, China

    Jiali Shi & Yan-Fang Sang

  3. Key Laboratory of Compound and Chained Natural Hazards, Ministry of Emergency Management of China, Beijing, 100085, China

    Yan-Fang Sang

  4. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of California Irvine, CA, 92697, Irvine, USA

    Amir AghaKouchak

  5. United Nations University Institute for Water, Environment and Health (UNU-INWEH), Ontario, Canada

    Amir AghaKouchak

  6. Physical Science and Engineering Division, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology, Thuwal, Saudi Arabia

    Sonam Sandeep Dash

  7. School of Geographical Sciences, Faculty of Science and Engineering, University of Nottingham Ningbo China, Ningbo, 315100, China

    Faith Ka Shun Chan

Authors
  1. Jiali Shi
    View author publications

    Search author on:PubMed Google Scholar

  2. Yan-Fang Sang
    View author publications

    Search author on:PubMed Google Scholar

  3. Amir AghaKouchak
    View author publications

    Search author on:PubMed Google Scholar

  4. Sonam Sandeep Dash
    View author publications

    Search author on:PubMed Google Scholar

  5. Faith Ka Shun Chan
    View author publications

    Search author on:PubMed Google Scholar

Contributions

Jiali Shi: conceptualization, methodology, software, visualization, data procession and writing; Yan-Fang Sang: conceptualization, methodology, supervision, funding, writing review and editing; Amir AghaKouchak: writing review and editing, Faith Ka Shun Chan: writing review and editing, Sonam Sandeep Dash: writing review and editing.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Yan-Fang Sang.

Ethics declarations

Competing interests

The authors declare no competing interests.

Additional information

Publisher’s note Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Supplementary information

Supplment

Rights and permissions

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Shi, J., Sang, YF., AghaKouchak, A. et al. A 500-m Agricultural Drought Impact Dataset in China’s Main Grain Region: Toward Impact-Based Drought Monitoring. Sci Data (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-026-06732-3

Download citation

  • Received: 07 July 2025

  • Accepted: 27 January 2026

  • Published: 05 February 2026

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-026-06732-3

Share this article

Anyone you share the following link with will be able to read this content:

Sorry, a shareable link is not currently available for this article.

Provided by the Springer Nature SharedIt content-sharing initiative

Download PDF

Advertisement

Explore content

  • Research articles
  • News & Comment
  • Collections
  • Follow us on Twitter
  • Sign up for alerts
  • RSS feed

About the journal

  • Aims and scope
  • Editors & Editorial Board
  • Journal Metrics
  • Policies
  • Open Access Fees and Funding
  • Calls for Papers
  • Contact

Publish with us

  • Submission Guidelines
  • Language editing services
  • Open access funding
  • Submit manuscript

Search

Advanced search

Quick links

  • Explore articles by subject
  • Find a job
  • Guide to authors
  • Editorial policies

Scientific Data (Sci Data)

ISSN 2052-4463 (online)

nature.com sitemap

About Nature Portfolio

  • About us
  • Press releases
  • Press office
  • Contact us

Discover content

  • Journals A-Z
  • Articles by subject
  • protocols.io
  • Nature Index

Publishing policies

  • Nature portfolio policies
  • Open access

Author & Researcher services

  • Reprints & permissions
  • Research data
  • Language editing
  • Scientific editing
  • Nature Masterclasses
  • Research Solutions

Libraries & institutions

  • Librarian service & tools
  • Librarian portal
  • Open research
  • Recommend to library

Advertising & partnerships

  • Advertising
  • Partnerships & Services
  • Media kits
  • Branded content

Professional development

  • Nature Awards
  • Nature Careers
  • Nature Conferences

Regional websites

  • Nature Africa
  • Nature China
  • Nature India
  • Nature Japan
  • Nature Middle East
  • Privacy Policy
  • Use of cookies
  • Legal notice
  • Accessibility statement
  • Terms & Conditions
  • Your US state privacy rights
Springer Nature

© 2026 Springer Nature Limited

Nature Briefing Anthropocene

Sign up for the Nature Briefing: Anthropocene newsletter — what matters in anthropocene research, free to your inbox weekly.

Get the most important science stories of the day, free in your inbox. Sign up for Nature Briefing: Anthropocene