Table 3 The cumulative cold and hot effects on mortality risk due to non-accidental, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality.

From: Temporal variation in associations between temperature and years of life lost in a southern China city with typical subtropical climate

Health Endpoints

Group

Period

Period

Jan 2008–Sep 2013 Cold: 5th vs MMP

Oct 2013–Dec 2015 Cold: 5th vs MMP

Jan 2008–Sep 2013 Hot: 95th vs MMP

Oct 2013–Dec 2015 Hot: 95th vs MMP

Non-accidental mortality

ALL

1.90 (1.62, 2.22)

1.34 (1.02, 1.77)*

1.03 (0.99, 1.07)

1.08 (0.99, 1.17)

Younger ( < 75)

1.39 (1.11, 1.73)

1.08 (0.72, 1.61)

1.03 (0.98, 1.09)

1.02 (0.90, 1.15)

Older ( ≥ 75)

2.34 (1.92, 2.85)

1.51 (1.07, 2.13)*

1.02 (0.97, 1.07)

1.12 (1.01, 1.25)

Male

1.78 (1.46, 2.17)

1.48 (1.05, 2.10)

1.03 (0.98, 1.08)

1.05 (0.95, 1.17)

Female

2.06 (1.65, 2.58)

1.17 (0.79, 1.74)*

1.03 (0.98, 1.09)

1.11 (0.98, 1.26)

Married

1.67 (1.38, 2.03)

1.42 (1.02, 1.98)

1.03 (0.99, 1.08)

1.05 (0.95, 1.16)

Widowed

2.36 (1.85, 3.02)

1.22 (0.79, 1.89)*

1.03 (0.97, 1.09)

1.10 (0.96, 1.27)

Cardiovascular mortality

ALL

1.86 (1.43,2.42)

1.45 (0.93, 2.27)

1.03 (0.97, 1.10)

1.04 (0.90, 1.19)

Younger (<75)

1.59 (0.99, 2.55)

1.44 (0.60, 3.46)

0.98 (0.88, 1.10)

1.01 (0.77, 1.32)

Older (≥75)

1.98 (1.45, 2.70)

1.46 (0.87, 2.42)

1.05 (0.97, 1.13)

1.04 (0.89, 1.22)

Male

1.52 (1.07, 2.16)

1.41 (0.77, 2.57)

0.99 (0.90, 1.08)

0.96 (0.80, 1.16)

Female

2.29 (1.59, 3.31)

1.47 (0.79, 2.72)

1.08 (0.98, 1.18)

1.12 (0.92, 1.36)

Married

1.81 (1.27, 2.57)

1.49 (0.82, 2.71)

1.02 (0.93, 1.11)

1.02 (0.85, 1.23)

Widowed

1.98 (1.33, 2.93)

1.27 (0.65, 2.47)

1.04 (0.94, 1.14)

1.02 (0.83, 1.26)

Respiratory mortality

ALL

2.82 (2.03, 3.93)

1.76 (0.95, 3.26)

1.08 (0.97, 1.20)

1.44 (1.16, 1.80)*

Younger (<75)

1.53 (0.63, 3.74)

2.07 (0.36, 12.00)

1.01 (0.75, 1.35)

1.90 (1.02, 3.54)

Older (≥75)

3.09 (2.18, 4.39)

1.74 (0.91, 3.327)

1.09 (0.97, 1.22)

1.39 (1.10, 1.76)

Male

3.94 (2.51, 6.19)

1.58 (0.69, 3.62)

1.09 (0.94, 1.26)

1.32 (0.98, 1.77)

Female

2.00 (1.26, 3.16)

1.96 (0.82, 4.69)

1.07 (0.91, 1.25)

1.61 (1.17, 2.21)*

Married

2.48 (1.51, 4.07)

2.05 (0.83, 5.03)

1.03 (0.88, 1.22)

1.44 (1.05, 1.98)

Widowed

3.29 (2.13, 5.10)

1.71 (0.74, 3.95)

1.13 (0.98, 1.31)

1.45 (1.07, 1.97)

  1. MMP: minimum mortality percentile; The MMP for RR of non-accidental, cardiovascular and respiratory mortality were 83, 83 and 79 percentiles, respectively. The 5th and 95th percentiles temperatures were 3.0 °C and 30.4 °C. *P < 0.05 (comparison between two periods).
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