Figure 5
From: Multi-year predictability of climate, drought, and wildfire in southwestern North America
Predictability of total soil water (top) and fire season length anomalies (bottom) for 10–21 (left; annual water year from October to September) and 10–45 months lead time (right; 3 water years) over the southwestern North America (28°N–44°N, 125°W–100°W) in the IR (red; ensemble mean in circle and its spread in error bars), UR for 1961–2030 (blue; ensemble mean for line and its spread for shading), and AR for 1961–2015 (black). Anomaly correlation coefficients (ACC) and root-mean-squared-error (RMSE) skill (%) in IR (red) and UR (blue) against the AR are denoted in each panel. The latest forecast in IR is initialized in January 1st, 2016 and represents the forecasted anomalies for the water year 2017 in left and 2017–2019 in right panels. Plots were generated using the NCAR Command Language (Version 6.3.0) [Software]. (2016). Boulder, Colorado: UCAR/NCAR/CISL/TDD. http://dx.doi.org/10.5065/D6WD3XH5.
