Figure 6
From: Multi-year predictability of climate, drought, and wildfire in southwestern North America
Anomaly maps of SST (shaded ocean), SLP (contour), and total soil water content (shaded land) for the water years (a–c) 2012, (d–f) 2014, (g–i) 2016, and (j) 2017 in reanalysis/observational datasets (left), AR (center; ensemble mean), and IR (right panels; ensemble mean of 10–21 months lead time predictions initialized in January of the year preceding the water year). Reanalysis datasets of SST, SLP, and total soil water anomalies are obtained from ERSST, ERA-I, and CPC, respectively (see Supplementary Methods). Anomalies are defined as the deviation from the climatological mean for 1990–2009. The water year 2016 in (g) reanalysis/observational datasets and (h) AR is verified by 9-month average (October 2015 to June 2016). Predictions are initialized in January 1st of (c) 2011, (f) 2013, (i) 2015, and (j) 2016. Contour intervals for SLP anomalies are ±0.1, ±0.2, ±0.5, ±1.0, ±1.5, ±2, ±3, and ±4 Pa. Plots were generated using the NCAR Command Language (Version 6.3.0) [Software]. (2016). Boulder, Colorado: UCAR/NCAR/CISL/TDD. http://dx.doi.org/10.5065/D6WD3XH5.
