Figure 5

Historical and future December mean temperature (1950–2100, RCP8.5) at the grid points closest to the locations of the four mountain sites of Fig. 1, as simulated by the ensemble of RCMs in Supplementary Table 1, and after a topographical correction is applied (see text). The bar and whiskers plots show the inter-model median, 25th and 75th percentiles and maximum and minimum values in the ensemble. If the distance of a given value from the median is greater than 1.5 times the inter-quantile range, the corresponding value (considered as an outlier) is indicated with a dot.