Table 3 ESRD risk score based on the final multivariate Cox’s proportional hazards model.

From: Development and validation of a risk prediction model for end-stage renal disease in patients with type 2 diabetes

Risk factor

β (SE)

Mean or proportion

P-value

Risk score

Socio-demographic factors

 Age

0.02 (0.004)

61.03

<0.001

−2 to 8

 Gender (male)

−0.01 (0.07)

0.47

0.89

0

Age of diabetes onset (years) (ref: <45)

 ≥45

−0.56 (0.10)

0.80

<0.001

−6

Diabetes-related factor and biomarker

Creatinine (mg/dL) (ref: <2.0)

 2.0–4.0

2.57 (0.10)

0.02

<0.001

29

 >4.0

2.65 (0.22)

0.004

<0.001

30

Variation in HbA1c (%) (ref: <8.5)

 8.5–17.5

0.23 (0.09)

0.33

0.01

3

 >17.5

0.48 (0.09)

0.34

<0.001

6

Variation in systolic blood pressure (%) (ref: <4.4)

 4.4–8.7

−0.08 (0.09)

0.33

0.40

−1

 >8.7

0.24 (0.09)

0.34

0.005

3

Diabetes-related disorders

 Diabetes retinopathy

0.88 (0.17)

0.01

<0.001

10

 Albuminuria

0.50 (0.09)

0.12

<0.001

6

Medication use

 Anti-diabetes medications (ref: no medication)

ref

ref

ref

0

 Oral only

−0.60 (0.21)

0.86

0.004

−7

 Insulin

0.45 (0.23)

0.04

0.05

5

 Insulin+oral agent

0.12 (0.23)

0.06

0.60

2

Hypertension medications

No

   SBP<130 and DBP<85

ref

ref

ref

0

   SBP:130–139 or DBP:85–89

0.12 (0.21)

0.14

0.55

1

   SBP:140–159 or DBP:90–99

0.46 (0.20)

0.12

0.02

5

   SBP≥160 or DBP≥100

0.72 (0.25)

0.03

0.005

8

Yes

   SBP<130 and DBP<85

0.99 (0.17)

0.11

<0.001

11

   SBP:130–139 or DBP:85–89

1.06 (0.17)

0.13

<0.001

12

   SBP:140–159 or DBP:90–99

1.33 (0.16)

0.19

<0.001

15

   SBP≥160 or DBP≥100

1.65 (0.17)

0.08

<0.001

19

Hyperlipidemia medications

No

   Total cholesterol: <200

ref

ref

ref

0

   Total cholesterol: 200–239

0.34 (0.12)

0.16

0.005

4

   Total cholesterol: ≥240

0.53 (0.17)

0.04

0.002

6

Yes

   Total cholesterol: <200

0.36 (0.11)

0.17

<0.001

4

   Total cholesterol: 200–239

0.35 (0.11)

0.15

0.002

4

   Total cholesterol: ≥240

0.91 (0.11)

0.09

<0.001

10