Table 4 3-, 5-, 8-year estimated risk for ESRD of each possible sum of points.

From: Development and validation of a risk prediction model for end-stage renal disease in patients with type 2 diabetes

Point total

Predicted risk of ESRD

3-year risk, %

5-year risk, %

8-year risk, %

−16~−14

0.12~0.15

0.25~0.30

0.53~0.63

−13~−11

0.16~0.19

0.33~0.39

0.69~0.82

−10~−8

0.21~0.25

0.43~0.51

0.90~1.07

−7~−5

0.27~0.32

0.56~0.66

1.17~1.39

−4~−2

0.35~0.42

0.72~0.86

1.51~1.80

−1~1

0.46~0.54

0.94~1.12

1.96~2.33

2~4

0.59~0.71

1.22~1.45

2.54~3.01

5~7

0.77~0.92

1.58~1.88

3.28~3.90

8~10

1.00~1.19

2.05~2.44

4.25~5.04

11~13

1.30~1.54

2.65~3.15

5.48~6.49

14~16

1.68~2.00

3.43~4.08

7.06~8.35

17~19

2.18~2.59

4.44~5.26

9.08~10.71

20~22

2.82~3.35

5.73~6.78

11.63~13.69

23~25

3.65~4.33

7.38~8.72

14.84~17.41

26~28

4.72~5.59

9.48~11.18

18.83~22.00

29~31

6.09~7.20

12.13~14.28

23.75~27.59

32~34

7.84~9.26

15.47~18.14

29.69~34.25

35~37

10.06~11.86

19.62~22.89

36.72~42.01

38~39

12.87~13.95

24.70~26.62

44.82~47.73

40~41

15.12~16.38

28.66~30.83

50.73~5381

42~43

17.74~19.19

33.11~35.52

56.95~60.14

44~45

20.74~22.40

38.05~40.70

63.34~66.55

46~47

24.18~26.07

43.46~46.32

69.73~72.85

48~49

28.08~30.20

49.28~52.32

75.89~78.83

50~51

32.46~34.83

55.44~58.60

81.62~84.25

52~53

37.32~39.94

61.80~65.01

86.69~88.93

54~55

42.67~45.50

68.20~71.36

90.94~92.72

56~57

48.44~51.46

74.44~77.43

94.27~95.58

58~59

54.55~57.70

80.30~83.01

96.68~97.56

60~61

60.90~64.10

85.54~87.88

98.26~98.80

62~63

67.31~70.47

90.00~91.90

99.20~99.48

64~65

73.58~76.60

93.55~94.98

99.68~99.81

66~67

79.50~82.26

96.18~97.16

99.89~99.94

68~69

84.85~87.24

97.95~98.56

99.97~99.99

70~71

89.43~91.38

99.02~99.36

99.99~100.00

72~73

93.11~94.60

99.60~99.76

100.00

74~76

95.86~97.75

99.86~99.96

100.00

77~79

98.40~99.28

99.98~100.00

100.00

≥80

99.54~100.00

100.00

100.00