Table 4 Diagnostic performance of preliminary models to predict malignant IPMN pathology1.

From: Linc-ing Circulating Long Non-coding RNAs to the Diagnosis and Malignant Prediction of Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms of the Pancreas

Model/Variables included

AUC (95% CI)

p value

FDR

Accuracy

SE

SP

PPV

NPV

Gender

0.60 (0.43 ~ 0.78)

0.242

0.252

0.61

0.50

0.71

0.58

0.63

Jaundice

0.61 (0.48 ~ 0.75)

0.087

0.095

0.65

0.29

0.94

0.80

0.62

High risk stigmata (HRS)

0.84 (0.71 ~ 0.97)

0.0002

0.004

0.84

0.86

0.82

0.80

0.88

Worrisome features (WF)

0.53 (0.36 ~ 0.70)

0.690

0.690

0.52

0.71

0.35

0.48

0.60

lncRNA signature

0.76 (0.58 ~ 0.94)

0.012

0.022

0.77

0.79

0.76

0.73

0.81

miRNA signature

0.79 (0.63 ~ 0.96)

0.035

0.043

0.74

0.86

0.65

0.67

0.85

Radiomics signature

0.74 (0.55 ~ 0.93)

0.014

0.023

0.77

0.86

0.71

0.71

0.86

miRNAs + Radiomics

0.89 (0.76 ~ 1.00)

0.002

0.009

0.87

0.79

0.94

0.92

0.84

lncRNAs + Radiomics

0.78 (0.61 ~ 0.95)

0.010

0.021

0.81

1.00

0.65

0.70

1.00

lncRNAs + miRNAs

0.83 (0.67 ~ 0.99)

0.013

0.023

0.81

0.79

0.82

0.79

0.82

lncRNAs + Radiomics + miRNAs

0.90 (0.78 ~ 1.00)

0.004

0.010

0.87

0.71

1.00

1.00

0.81

HRS + WF + lncRNAs

0.91 (0.81 ~ 1.00)

0.001

0.007

0.87

0.86

0.88

0.86

0.88

HRS + WF + Radiomics

0.85 (0.70 ~ 1.00)

0.002

0.009

0.84

0.86

0.82

0.80

0.88

HRS + WF + miRNAs

0.94 (0.87 ~ 1.00)

0.001

0.007

0.87

0.93

0.82

0.81

0.93

HRS + WF + lncRNAs + Radiomics

0.91 (0.81 ~ 1.00)

0.003

0.009

0.87

0.86

0.88

0.86

0.88

HRS + WF + lncRNAs + miRNAs

0.95 (0.89 ~ 1.00)

0.001

0.007

0.87

0.93

0.82

0.81

0.93

HRS + WF + lncRNAs + Radiomics + miRNAs

0.95 (0.89 ~ 1.00)

0.003

0.009

0.87

0.93

0.82

0.81

0.93

HRS + WF + gender + Jaundice + lncRNAs + Radiomics + miRNAs

0.97 (0.91 ~ 1.00)

0.010

0.021

0.90

0.93

0.88

0.87

0.94

WF + lncRNAs

0.76 (0.59 ~ 0.94)

0.041

0.049

0.77

0.71

0.82

0.77

0.78

WF + Radiomics

0.78 (0.60 ~ 0.95)

0.021

0.031

0.81

1.00

0.65

0.70

1.00

WF + miRNAs

0.79 (0.62 ~ 0.96)

0.067

0.076

0.81

0.79

0.82

0.79

0.82

WF + lncRNAs + Radiomics

0.82 (0.66 ~ 0.97)

0.015

0.024

0.77

0.86

0.71

0.71

0.86

WF + lncRNAs + miRNAs

0.84 (0.69 ~ 1.00)

0.029

0.039

0.84

0.86

0.82

0.80

0.88

WF + lncRNAs + Radiomics + miRNAs

0.92 (0.83 ~ 1.00)

0.007

0.018

0.87

0.93

0.82

0.81

0.93

WF + gender + Jaundice + lncRNAs + Radiomics + miRNAs

0.92 (0.82 ~ 1.00)

0.027

0.037

0.87

0.93

0.82

0.81

0.93

  1. 131 IPMN cases (17 benign; 14 malignant) had data types (clinical data, miRNA, radiomic, lncRNA) included in these analyses. AUC = area underneath the curve; SE = sensitivity; SP = specificity; PPV = positive predictive value; NPV = negative predictive value; High risk stigmata = main pancreatic duct involvement/dilatation ≥10 mm, obstructive jaundice with a cystic lesion in the pancreatic head, or an enhanced solid component/nodule within the cyst; Worrisome features = main pancreatic duct dilation 5–9 mm, cyst size >3 cm, thickened enhanced cyst walls, non-enhanced mural nodules, or acute pancreatitis.