Table 3 Forecasted results using monthly PWV thresholds.
Month | PWV threshold | Forecasted frequency | Correct rate (%) | False alarm rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
2014.09 | 55.5 | 72/87 | 82.8 | 76.8 |
2014.10 | 44.8 | 2/2 | 100.0 | 92.3 |
2014.11 | 31.5 | 48/54 | 88.9 | 72.4 |
2014.12 | 23.0 | 16/19 | 84.2 | 77.5 |
2015.01 | 25.1 | 17/21 | 81.0 | 72.1 |
2015.02 | 27.0 | 48/56 | 85.7 | 56.8 |
2015.03 | 27.0 | 69/85 | 81.2 | 71.8 |
2015.04 | 31.5 | 20/24 | 83.3 | 91.9 |
2015.05 | 45.0 | 54/64 | 84.4 | 78.8 |
2015.06 | 58.5 | 67/81 | 82.7 | 81.7 |
2015.07 | 59.0 | 91/110 | 82.7 | 66.2 |
2015.08 | 55.0 | 29/36 | 80.6 | 90.4 |
