Table 1 Models of viability of the SRKW population for assessing current viability, sensitivity to anthropogenic threats, and responses to management.

From: Evaluating anthropogenic threats to endangered killer whales to inform effective recovery plans

Set

Scenario

Parameters varied

Population growth (r)

Baseline

Baseline

Rates as observed 1976–2015

−0.002

Sensitivity Tests

See Supplementary Information (S.I.)

See S.I.

Individual Threats

Current

Chinook = 1.0; Noise = 85%; PCB = 2 ppm/y

−0.001

Chinook

0.6 to 1.3 × baseline

−0.038 to +0.025

Noise

0 to 100% of time

+0.017 to −0.004

PCB

0 to 5 ppm/y

+0.003 to −0.008

Cumulative Threats

No Anthropogenic Threats

baseline Chinook; no noise, no PCB; no oil spills; no ship strikes

+0.019

Low Development

25% decline in Chinook; 92.5% noise; low frequency oil spills and ship strikes (see Table 2)

−0.008

High Development

50% decline in Chinook; 100% noise; higher frequency oil spills and ship strikes (see Table 2)

−0.017

Demographic Management

Fecundity

1 to 1.5 × baseline

 + 0.016

Adult Mortality

1 to 0.5 × baseline

 + 0.009

Calf Mortality

1 to 0.5 × baseline

 + 0.004

Threat Management

Chinook

1 to 1.3 × baseline

 + 0.025

Noise

85% to 0%

 + 0.017

PCB

2 to 0 ppm/y

 + 0.004

Chinook & Noise

1 to 1.3 × Chinook; 42.5% Noise

 + 0.036

  1. Population growth rates are mean r for Baseline, ranges for tests of Individual Threats, means for Cumulative Threat scenarios, and maxima for ranges tested in Demographic Management and Threat Management scenarios.