Table 2 Analysis of water resource changes from 2020–2035.

From: Energy Reduction Effect of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project in China

No.

GCMs

Average annual transferable water from Danjiangkou reservoir

Average water resource in the NCP area

RCP 4.5

RCP 8.5

RCP 4.5

RCP 8.5

1

CanESM242

14.2

12.4

28.3

30.4

2

CNRM-CM543

9.4

4.0

24.3

19.5

3

GISS-E2-R44

10.8

7.7

27.4

21.3

4

MRI-CGCM45

14.7

13.3

20.9

26.8

5

Ensemble Mean

12.3

9.3

25.2

24.5

  1. Source: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Fifth Assessment Report, models.
  2. Notes: unit = billion m3.