Table 4 Projected growth rate of bladder cancer incidence rates by 2020 and 2030.

From: The global epidemiology of bladder cancer: a joinpoint regression analysis of its incidence and mortality trends and projection

Men

Women

 

AAPC

P-value (3 sig. fig.)

Latest available year*

Growth rate by 2020 (%)

Growth rate by 2030 (%)

AAPC

P-value

Latest available year*

Growth rate by 2020 (%)

Growth rate by 2030 (%)

Latin America, the Caribbean and Northern America

Brazil

4.31

0.008

2007

73

164

12.43

0.007

2007

359

1,380

Costa Rica

−2.13

0.050

2007

−24

−39

0.11

0.979

2007

1

3

Colombia

−2.87

0.200

2007

−32

−49

−2.65

0.284

2007

−29

−46

Ecuador

0.71

0.804

2007

10

18

4.73

0.152

2007

82

189

Canada

0.68

0.366

2007

9

17

2.16

0.149

2007

32

63

Asia

The Philippines

1.01

0.437

2007

14

26

1.36

0.465

2007

19

37

China

−3.59

0.000

2007

−38

−57

−2.96

0.004

2007

−32

−50

Singapore

−0.89

0.323

2007

−11

−19

−0.61

0.837

2007

−8

−13

Israel

−1.75

0.007

2007

−21

−33

−0.78

0.386

2007

−10

−17

Japan

1.16

0.069

2007

16

30

2.67

0.090

2007

41

83

Thailand

0.87

0.381

2007

12

22

−0.049

0.979

2007

−1

−1

Oceania

Australia

−1.11

0.008

2012

−9

−18

−1.23

0.032

2012

−9

−20

New Zealand

−10.80

0.000

2012

−60

−87

−6.74

0.037

2012

−43

−71

Northern Europe

Latvia

0.36

0.879

2007

5

9

2.76

0.038

2007

42

87

United Kingdom

−2.22

0.001

2007

−25

−40

−1.99

0.005

2007

−23

−37

Lithuania

0.65

0.344

2007

9

16

2.11

0.187

2007

31

62

Norway

−0.92

0.091

2013

−6

−15

0.20

0.801

2013

1

3

Finland

0.44

0.237

2013

3

8

0.094

0.805

2013

1

2

Estonia

−0.70

0.306

2007

−9

−15

−0.66

0.678

2007

−8

−14

Sweden

−0.019

0.944

2013

0

0

0.46

0.445

2013

3

8

Denmark

−1.09

0.005

2013

−7

−17

−0.78

0.248

2013

−5

−13

Iceland

0.12

0.926

2013

1

2

−2.17

0.451

2013

−14

−31

Ireland

−3.70

0.000

2009

−34

−55

−2.58

0.123

2009

−25

−42

Western Europe

The Netherlands

−0.72

0.028

2007

−9

−15

2.74

0.000

2007

42

86

Switzerland

1.64

0.220

2007

24

45

3.24

0.031

2007

51

108

France

4.76

0.010

2007

83

191

6.97

0.004

2007

140

371

Austria

−2.42

0.004

2009

−24

−40

−1.77

0.007

2009

−18

−31

Germany

10.98

0.001

2007

287

998

12.41

0.000

2007

358

1375

Southern Europe

Slovenia

2.89

0.019

2007

45

92

5.67

0.004

2007

105

256

Spain

0.68

0.015

2007

9

17

2.02

0.076

2007

30

59

Malta

−2.10

0.356

2009

−21

−36

7.32

0.031

2009

118

341

Italy

−0.46

0.065

2007

−6

−10

0.80

0.479

2007

11

20

Croatia

0.016

0.993

2007

0

0

1.68

0.194

2007

24

47

Eastern Europe

Bulgaria

3.67

0.000

2007

60

129

6.98

0.000

2007

140

372

Poland

1.72

0.524

2006

27

51

−0.48

0.875

2006

−6

−11

Russian Federation

0.15

0.872

2007

2

4

0.50

0.801

2007

7

12

Slovakia

2.61

0.000

2007

40

81

1.87

0.157

2007

27

53

Czech Republic

−0.43

0.213

2007

−5

−9

0.56

0.398

2007

8

14

  1. AAPC: Average Annual Percent Change; *represents the calendar year where the latest figure is available from the respective national database.