Table 4 Model coefficients showing the influence of disturbance (based on human footprint indices) at 1 km and 10 km radius scales around MAPS stations on breeding abundance, productivity, apparent survival and residency probability of Canada warblers.

From: Drivers of demographic decline across the annual cycle of a threatened migratory bird

Variable

Spatial scale

1 km

10 km

Breeding abundance

−0.66 (−1.00, −0.33)

>0.999

−0.73 (−1.06, −0.39)

>0.999

Productivity

0.16 (−0.002, 0.32)

0.05

0.19 (−0.002, 0.42)

0.05

Apparent survival

0.03 (−0.33, 0.44)

0.45

0.09 (−0.24, 0.48)

0.32

Residency probability

−0.46 (−0.80, −0.12)

0.98

−0.40 (−0.77, −0.10)

0.97

  1. Values shown include the mean and 90% credible interval from the posterior distribution with the probability of a negative effect underneath.
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