Table 4 Parameters tested for sensitivity to prior distributions, with resulting percent relative change (PRC) and error measurements as coefficient of variation (CV) in the Bayesian state-space model.
Variable | Description | PRC | CV |
|---|---|---|---|
LS − 10% | 10% Underestimate of litter size | −0.68 | 0.68 |
LS + 10% | 10% Overestimate of litter size | 1.09 | 1.09 |
PR − 10% | 10% Underestimate of pregnancy rate | −0.98 | 0.98 |
PR + 10% | 10% Overestimate of pregnancy rate | 1.25 | 1.25 |
HSm − 10% | 10% Underestimate of male harvest season survival | −0.04 | 0.04 |
HSm + 10% | 10% Overestimate of male harvest season survival | 0.02 | 0.02 |
HSf − 10% | 10% Underestimate of female harvest season survival | −0.43 | 0.43 |
HSf + 10% | 10% Overestimate of female harvest season survival | 0.93 | 0.92 |
NHS − 10% | 10% Underestimate of non-harvest season survival | 1.64 | 1.85 |
NHS + 10% | 10% Overestimate of non-harvest season survival | N/A | N/A |
Rep − 10% | 10% Underestimate of reporting rate | 7.33 | 7.26 |
Rep + 10% | 10% Overestimate of reporting rate | N/A | N/A |
CubSa − 10% | 10% Underestimate of cub season a survival | −0.44 | 0.43 |
CubSa + 10% | 10% Overestimate of cub season a survival | 1.30 | 1.30 |
CubSb − 10% | 10% Underestimate of cub season b survival | 1.46 | 1.48 |
CubSb + 10% | 10% Overestimate of cub season b survival | −1.49 | 1.49 |
N − 10% | 10% Underestimate of starting population | −1.81 | 1.84 |
N + 10% | 10% Overestimate of starting population | 1.98 | 2.02 |
