Table 1 The goodness-of –fit results of SARIMA models.

From: Predicting seasonal influenza epidemics using cross-hemisphere influenza surveillance data and local internet query data

 

China (1,1,1) (1,0,2)

US (2,2,2) (2,0,0)

UK (3,0,2) (1,0,0)

R2

BIC

RMSE

R2

BIC

RMSE

R2

BIC

RMSE

Model 1

92.80

13.17

301.55

94.20

14.33

557.46

91.60

12.27

139.23

Model 2

94.10

11.42

292.37

96.70

12.62

530.75

93.30

9.73

124.99

Model 3

93.90

11.87

297.41

96.40

12.94

536.18

92.90

10.06

128.37

Model 4

94.40

11.12

245.18

96.80

12.16

405.13

93.90

9.52

111.95

  1. Model 1: Australian influenza data and local search data excluded model; Model 2: Australian influenza data included model; Model 3: Local search data included model; Model 4: Australian influenza data and local search data included model.
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