Table 5 Percent change in generation time of fruit flies during future climate change periods across different models and scenarios.
Scenario/time period | Fruit flies species | BCC-CSM1-1 | CSIRO-Mk3-6-0 | FIO-ESM | GFDL-ESM2M | HadGEM2-ES | IPSL-CM5A-MR | MIROC-ESM-CHEM | Ensemble |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RCP 2.6/2020 | B. correcta | −2.74 | −3.87 | −2.93 | −4.74 | −3.34 | −4.35 | −3.04 | −3.70 |
B. zonata | −2.26 | −3.42 | −2.67 | −4.24 | −3.31 | −3.92 | −3.00 | −3.42 | |
B. dorsalis | −1.90 | −3.21 | −2.40 | −3.95 | −3.14 | −3.87 | −2.67 | −3.16 | |
RCP 2.6/2050 | B. correcta | −5.57 | −9.75 | −4.98 | −7.29 | −8.49 | −7.16 | −8.31 | −7.55 |
B. zonata | −4.56 | −8.52 | −4.56 | −6.86 | −7.64 | −6.26 | −7.44 | −6.66 | |
B. dorsalis | −4.34 | −8.00 | −4.34 | −6.31 | −7.20 | −6.07 | −7.03 | −6.27 | |
RCP 2.6/2080 | B. correcta | −6.19 | −10.05 | −3.13 | −7.22 | −8.88 | −7.28 | −7.72 | −8.30 |
B. zonata | −4.34 | −8.82 | −2.78 | −5.89 | −7.50 | −6.07 | −6.49 | −6.51 | |
B. dorsalis | −4.14 | −8.44 | −2.85 | −5.95 | −7.20 | −5.90 | −6.55 | −6.42 | |
RCP 4.5/2020 | B. correcta | −3.30 | −4.01 | −2.93 | −4.53 | −3.27 | −5.53 | −3.77 | −3.85 |
B. zonata | −3.28 | −3.37 | −2.79 | −4.22 | −2.73 | −4.68 | −3.64 | −3.61 | |
B. dorsalis | −2.62 | −2.89 | −2.47 | −3.89 | −2.33 | −4.49 | −3.26 | −3.15 | |
RCP 4.5/2050 | B. correcta | −8.26 | −10.99 | −8.16 | −9.79 | −11.28 | −10.33 | −10.89 | −10.39 |
B. zonata | −7.10 | −10.21 | −7.21 | −8.62 | −9.84 | −9.61 | −10.28 | −9.08 | |
B. dorsalis | −6.66 | −9.50 | −6.88 | −8.50 | −9.23 | −8.94 | −9.60 | −8.54 | |
RCP 4.5/2080 | B. correcta | −10.36 | −15.86 | −9.47 | −10.46 | −15.22 | −14.74 | −16.21 | −13.60 |
B. zonata | −8.62 | −13.57 | −8.05 | −9.22 | −13.21 | −12.77 | −13.76 | −11.80 | |
B. dorsalis | −8.27 | −13.14 | −7.81 | −8.87 | −12.80 | −12.58 | −13.10 | −11.69 | |
RCP 6.0/2020 | B. correcta | −2.92 | −3.17 | −2.29 | −4.23 | −3.15 | −3.82 | −3.69 | −3.43 |
B. zonata | −2.79 | −2.83 | −2.29 | −3.86 | −2.91 | −3.61 | −4.09 | −3.31 | |
B. dorsalis | −2.41 | −2.54 | −2.12 | −3.50 | −2.50 | −3.53 | −3.81 | −3.22 | |
RCP 6.0/2050 | B. correcta | −7.30 | −9.51 | −7.63 | −8.92 | −9.34 | −9.47 | −9.21 | −9.52 |
B. zonata | −6.16 | −8.31 | −6.78 | −8.07 | −8.53 | −8.44 | −8.17 | −7.85 | |
B. dorsalis | −5.97 | −7.82 | −6.45 | −7.32 | −8.06 | −7.91 | −7.61 | −6.44 | |
RCP 6.0/2080 | B. correcta | −11.18 | −15.26 | −10.49 | −13.09 | −15.51 | −13.24 | −11.50 | −13.71 |
B. zonata | −9.60 | −12.82 | −8.90 | −11.14 | −13.00 | −11.18 | −9.57 | −11.42 | |
B. dorsalis | −9.14 | −12.79 | −8.21 | −11.28 | −12.98 | −11.05 | −9.69 | −11.26 | |
RCP 8.5/2020 | B. correcta | −2.61 | −3.49 | −3.84 | −3.45 | −3.85 | −4.42 | −4.78 | −3.83 |
B. zonata | −2.34 | −2.97 | −3.60 | −3.25 | −3.71 | −4.07 | −4.27 | −5.21 | |
B. dorsalis | −2.15 | −2.74 | −3.25 | −3.07 | −3.42 | −3.84 | −3.90 | −5.33 | |
RCP 8.5/2050 | B. correcta | −10.01 | −12.43 | −10.55 | −9.89 | −13.67 | −13.31 | −13.57 | −11.84 |
B. zonata | −8.87 | −11.49 | −9.81 | −9.53 | −12.39 | −11.99 | −12.07 | −11.02 | |
B. dorsalis | −8.33 | −10.75 | −9.25 | −8.84 | −11.58 | −11.50 | −11.66 | −10.28 | |
RCP 8.5/2080 | B. correcta | −19.08 | −24.23 | −19.67 | −18.56 | −24.70 | −24.32 | −24.47 | −22.92 |
B. zonata | −15.42 | −20.10 | −16.23 | −15.31 | −20.61 | −20.14 | −20.76 | −18.84 | |
B. dorsalis | −15.09 | −19.35 | −16.09 | −15.16 | −19.79 | −19.51 | −19.95 | −18.01 |