Table 2 Summary of the estimated percentage of seronegative people who became positive for measles or rubella antibodies after vaccination and the estimated vaccination coverage, obtained by fitting to the observed data using maximum likelihood.
Age group considered in the estimation | Constraint on the vaccine coverage | Estimated % of seronegative people who become positive after vaccination for antibodies to: | Estimated average vaccination coverage (%) | Deviance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Measles (em) | Rubella (er) | ||||
5–14 years | >95% (basecase) | 83.6 (76,87.9) | 95.8 (92.1,98.4) | 95 (95,95) | 56 |
>90% | 83.2 (71.5,89.8) | 96.8 (91.4,100) | 90 (90,90.7) | 50 | |
>80% | 84.3 (72.9,94.2) | 99.9 (92,100) | 80.6 (80,90.2) | 49 | |
>50% | 84.7 (74.1,99.9) | 99.1 (92.3,100) | 81.3 (63.8,89.8) | 49 | |
>0% | 84.7 (73.7,99.9) | 99.1 (92.5,100) | 81.3 (64,89.4) | 49 | |
15–21 years | >95% (basecase) | 86.6 (73.1,94.9) | 87.4 (66.4,92.1) | 95 (95,99.4) | 33 |
>90% | 88.6 (68.1,96.9) | 81.2 (65.2,96.2) | 90 (90,99.4) | 33 | |
>80% | 86.9 (61,98.4) | 87.3 (61.5,100) | 95.2 (80,99.2) | 33 | |
>50% | 84.8 (65.5,99.9) | 87.8 (57.9,100) | 94 (64.7,99.3) | 33 | |
>0% | 76.7 (64,99.9) | 96.2 (60.5,100) | 75.6 (65.3,99.3) | 33 | |
All age groups | >95% (basecase) | 76.8 (67.2,85.2) | 92.7 (89.9,95.2) | 95 (95,95) | 109 |
>90% | 75.1 (68.1,81.6) | 97.1 (94.3,99.6) | 90 (90,90) | 94 | |
>80% | 75.2 (67.8,83.7) | 100 (97.5,100) | 84.7 (80,88.2) | 90 | |
>50% | 75.2 (68.3,99.9) | 100 (97.3,100) | 84.7 (63,88.2) | 90 | |
>0% | 75.2 (68.3,99.8) | 100 (97.4,100) | 84.7 (63.9,88.2) | 90 | |
