Table 3 Comparison of The Linear and Non-Linear Effects of CO2 on Crops in Selected Elevated CO2 - Plants Relationship Studies.

From: A Bio-Economic Crop Yield Response (BECYR) Model for Corn and Soybeans in Ontario, Canada for 1959–2013

Studies

Time Period

Regions

Comparison of Results

Method

Corn (C4 Crop)

Soybean (C3 Crop; Legume)

Linear: The percentage increase in crop yields per ppm

Kimball (1983)

Various years

Various Countries

Review enclosure studies

 

0.039–0.13%

Cure & Acock (1986)

Various years

Various Countries

Review enclosure studies

−0.10–0.27%

0.062–0.11%

Long et al. (2006)

1992–2005 (Short-term for each crop)

Various Countries

Free-Air Concentration Enrichment Experiment (FACE)

0%

0.082%

Ziska & Bunce (2007)

Various years

Various Countries

Review enclosure and FACE studies

 

−0.00012–0.28%

This Paper

1959–2013

Ontario, Canada

Bio-Economic Crop Yield Response Model (BECYR)

0.04% ± 0.80%

0.32% ± 1.26%

   

Nonlinear: The direction and turning point of CO2 effect on plants

Andresen et al. (2017)

1998–2014

Hesse, German

Giessen Free-Air Concentration Enrichment Experiment (GiFACE)

 

The biomass of legumes at elevated CO2 (+20% above ambient) is less than that at ambient CO2 for 1998–2006. After 2006, the biomass at elevated CO2 is more than that at ambient.

Reich et al. (2018)

1998–2017

Minnesota, US

Free-Air Concentration Enrichment Experiment (FACE)

The biomass of C4 grasses was not markedly raised at elevated CO2 (+180ppm) in the first 12 years, but markedly raised in the subsequent 8 years.

The biomass of C3 grasses was markedly raised at elevated CO2 (+180ppm), but not in the subsequent 8 years

This Paper

1959–2013

Ontario, Canada

Bio-Economic Crop Yield Response Model (BECYR)

Corn yield decreases in the beginning. When CO2 reaches 353ppm (the value in 1994), yield starts to increase

Soybean yield decreases in the beginning. When CO2 reaches 360ppm (the value in 1998), yield starts to increase

  1. The comparison of studied periods, regions, methods, and results are shown in each column. The top section is a comparison among studies examining the linear effect of CO2. The bottom section is a comparison among studies examining the nonlinear effect of CO2. Enclosure studies refer to the studies investigating the effect of CO2 in an environment which is not completely open to the field atmosphere, such as chamber and greenhouse. The Free Air Concentration Enrichment Experiment (FACE) refers to the studies to investigate the effect of CO2 in the field that completely open to the atmosphere. The linear CO2 effect in this paper is based on average Ontario crop yields for 1959–2013 (e.g. coefficient of CO2 concentration / Ontario corn yields 1959–2013). The 95% confidential interval is calculated. The quadratic CO2 effect in this paper is calculated by solving the first-order condition of crop yields in terms of the CO2 concentration.