Table 1 Comparisons of the goodness of fit test for the five candidate SARIMA models.

From: Time series analysis of temporal trends in hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome morbidity rate in China from 2005 to 2019

Model

AIC

BIC

Log-Likelihood

SARIMA(0,1,3)(0,1,1)12

−851.561

−836.344

430.781

SARIMA(0,1,3)(1,1,0)12

−850.759

−835.542

430.380

SARIMA(0,1,3)(0,1,0)12

−841.185

−829.011

424.592

SARIMA(0,1,2)(0,1,1)12

−839.460

−827.287

423.730

SARIMA(1,1,1)(0,1,1)12

−840.981

−828.807

424.491

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